Pavel Lagutin v Massimo Giunta
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTP. Lagutin is 8-2 over the last ten and 27-9 on clay this season. M. Giunta is 6-4 over the last ten and 24-12 on clay this season.
The pick is P. Lagutin to win. We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.67 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| P. Lagutin | M. Giunta | |
|---|---|---|
| 432 | Ranking | 390 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WLWWL |
| +1.6 | V the odds | +1.9 |
| 46-16 | Season | 39-25 |
| 27-9 | Clay 2026 | 24-12 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 1d | Days rest | 2d |
| 3 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
P. Lagutin — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Giunta | 0 - 2 | 1.75 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-10-13 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Geerts | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | O. Ovcharenko | 2 - 1 | 1.37 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | I. Parisca | 2 - 0 | 1.34 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | I. Radulov | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | S. Gulin | 1 - 0 RET | 1.47 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | R. T. Pieleanu | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Biella | Clay | A. Moro Canas | 2 - 0 | 2.18 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Biella | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 2 - 1 | 1.85 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Biella | Clay | M. Marterer | 2 - 0 | 1.50 | 63% | WON |
M. Giunta — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | P. Lagutin | 0 - 2 | 2.12 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | H. Searle | 2 - 1 | 1.47 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-10-09 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | A. Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | 2.96 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-10-07 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | G. Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | 2.52 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | P. Basile | 1 - 2 | 1.90 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. Taberner | 0 - 2 | 2.59 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Arnaboldi | 2 - 0 | 1.72 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Biella | Clay | M. Brunold | 2 - 1 | 2.89 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | T. Seyboth Wild | 2 - 0 | 3.70 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | T. Gentzsch | 2 - 0 | 2.89 | 67% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Pavel Lagutin or Massimo Giunta?
Pavel Lagutin is favourite at 1.75, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Pavel Lagutin vs Massimo Giunta?
Pavel Lagutin is 1.75 and Massimo Giunta is 2.12, the prices we recorded for the Catania (Italy) match.
Who will win Pavel Lagutin vs Massimo Giunta?
Our model makes it Pavel Lagutin to win at 1.75 (Solid confidence).