Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Petr Nesterov
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTP. Llamas Ruiz is 5-5 over the last ten and 22-6 on clay this season. P. Nesterov is 5-5 over the last ten and 34-15 on clay this season.
The pick is P. Llamas Ruiz to win 2-0. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.15 or bigger. At 2.00 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| P. Llamas Ruiz | P. Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| 143 | Ranking | 298 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WLWWL | Last 5 | WWWLW |
| -0.5 | V the odds | -1.9 |
| 37-21 | Season | 53-22 |
| 22-6 | Clay 2026 | 34-15 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 3d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 3 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Villena | P. Llamas RuizvP. Nesterov | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
P. Llamas Ruiz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Villena | Clay | P. Martinez | 0 - 1 RET | 1.69 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-10-08 | Villena | Clay | P. Nesterov | 2 - 1 | 1.36 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | L. Nardi | 2 - 0 | 1.54 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Seville | Clay | R. Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | 1.25 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Seville | Clay | K. Coppejans | 1 - 2 | 1.36 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | V. Sachko | 1 - 2 | 1.50 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | L. Harris | 2 - 0 | 2.58 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | A. Bolt | 0 - 2 | 1.35 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Cancun 2 | Hard | L. Harris | 1 - 0 RET | 2.73 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Cancun 2 | Hard | F. Comesana | 2 - 0 | 1.96 | 51% | WON |
P. Nesterov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Villena | Clay | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 1 | 3.32 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Villena | Clay | C. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | 1.20 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | H. Barton | 1 - 2 | 2.38 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | Clay | C. Chen | 1 - 2 | 1.07 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | G. Marques | 2 - 1 | 1.46 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | M. Topo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | G. Tabacco | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | C. Taberner | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | Y. Milev | 1 - 2 | 1.23 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-08-12 | M25 Muttenz | Clay | D. Sakellaridis | 2 - 1 | 1.28 | 75% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Pablo Llamas Ruiz or Petr Nesterov?
Pablo Llamas Ruiz is favourite at 1.36, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov?
Pablo Llamas Ruiz is 1.36 and Petr Nesterov is 3.32, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.
What is the head-to-head between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Petr Nesterov?
They have met 1 time and Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads 1-0.
Who will win Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov?
Our model makes it Pablo Llamas Ruiz to win 2-0 at 2.00 (Lean confidence).