THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 09 OCTOBERMATCHES 136EVENTS 35ALERTS 106
ChallengerClayVillena · 1/8-finals2026-10-08 11:00

Moez Echargui v Daniil Glinka

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
D. Glinka to win1.66
Price too short today - wait for 1.67 or bigger · our chance 60% · market 42/58, us 40/60

D. Glinka is 5-5 over the last ten and 10-8 on clay this season. M. Echargui is 7-3 over the last ten and 4-10 on clay this season. The head to head is M. Echargui 1-0.

The pick is D. Glinka to win. We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.67 or bigger. At 1.66 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. EcharguiD. Glinka
356Ranking173
7-3Last 105-5
WLWLWLast 5WLLWW
-0.0V the odds+0.2
19-32Season32-29
4-10Clay 202610-8
2Last 7 days1
3dDays rest3d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Echargui2.3242%
D. GlinkaFAV1.6658%
Market says58% Glinka

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Echargui1
D. Glinka1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-08VillenaM. EcharguivD. Glinka0 - 2
2021-10-14M15 Monastir 39M. EcharguivD. Glinka2 - 0

This season & this event

M. Echargui
D. Glinka
19-33
4-11
Lost R16 to H. Grenier
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
34-29
12-8
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Moez Echargui
Tunisia
Daniil Glinka
Estonia
356
33
Tunisia
18–32
0
12–19
3–10
2–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
173
26
Estonia
31–28
0
23–17
8–7
0–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Echargui — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-08VillenaClayD. Glinka0 - 22.3258%LOST
2026-10-05VillenaClayR. Brancaccio2 - 01.4066%WON
2026-10-01PortoClayE. Butvilas2 - 02.9167%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayD. Dzumhur2 - 0——WON
2026-09-22St. TropezHardD. Masur1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-21St. TropezHardK. Poling2 - 01.3472%WON
2026-09-20St. TropezHardL. Potenza2 - 11.5362%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryM. Murtaza2 - 01.0194%WON
2026-09-11CassisHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 13.0969%LOST
2026-09-09CassisHardB. Harris2 - 11.9852%WON

D. Glinka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-09VillenaClayA. Shelbayh1 - 21.6858%WON
2026-10-08VillenaClayM. Echargui0 - 21.6658%WON
2026-10-05VillenaClayG. Onclin2 - 11.5858%WON
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Bernet0 - 21.8350%LOST
2026-09-25St. TropezHardD. Prizmic2 - 04.2578%LOST
2026-09-23St. TropezHardU. Blanchet2 - 11.7652%WON
2026-09-22St. TropezHardD. Jade2 - 0——WON
2026-09-11CassisHardT. Droguet2 - 13.0268%LOST
2026-09-09CassisHardM. Erhard0 - 1 RET1.6259%WON
2026-09-07CassisHardR. Peniston0 - 21.3372%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Moez Echargui or Daniil Glinka?

Daniil Glinka is favourite at 1.66, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Moez Echargui vs Daniil Glinka?

Moez Echargui is 2.32 and Daniil Glinka is 1.66, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Moez Echargui and Daniil Glinka?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Moez Echargui vs Daniil Glinka?

Our model makes it Daniil Glinka to win at 1.66 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event