Daniel Rincon v Pedro Martinez
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTD. Rincon is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-12 on clay this season. P. Martinez is 6-4 over the last ten and 19-20 on clay this season. The head to head is D. Rincon 1-1.
The pick is D. Rincon to win. We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.72 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Rincon | P. Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| 245 | Ranking | 132 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLWWL | Last 5 | WLLWW |
| +0.5 | V the odds | +0.7 |
| 37-26 | Season | 31-28 |
| 25-12 | Clay 2026 | 19-20 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 3d | Days rest | 3d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Villena | D. RinconvP. Martinez | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Parma | P. MartinezvD. Rincon | 0 - 2 |
| 2023-06-20 | Blois Challenger Men | D. RinconvP. Martinez | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Rincon — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Villena | Clay | P. Martinez | 0 - 2 | 1.76 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | A. Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | 1.50 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Porto | Clay | D. Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | 1.36 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Porto | Clay | L. Djere | 2 - 0 | 2.27 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | F. Tabacco | 0 - 2 | 1.36 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | D. Prizmic | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-17 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | T. Droguet | 1 - 2 | 3.48 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | H. Stewart | 1 - 0 RET | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Cassis | Hard | U. Blanchet | 2 - 1 | 1.99 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Cassis | Hard | M. Dhamne | 0 - 2 | 1.39 | 69% | WON |
P. Martinez — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Villena | Clay | P. Llamas Ruiz | 0 - 1 RET | 2.29 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | Villena | Clay | D. Rincon | 0 - 2 | 2.15 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | A. Holmgren | 1 - 2 | 2.20 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | E. Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-13 | Genova | Clay | T. Seyboth Wild | 2 - 0 | 2.57 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-12 | Genova | Clay | L. Djere | 1 - 2 | 2.62 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | Genova | Clay | V. Aboian | 2 - 0 | 1.21 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | M. Zeitune | 2 - 0 | 1.21 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | F. Forti | 2 - 0 | 1.42 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-03 | Como | Clay | J. Clarke | 2 - 1 | 1.59 | 59% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Daniel Rincon or Pedro Martinez?
Daniel Rincon is favourite at 1.76, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Daniel Rincon vs Pedro Martinez?
Daniel Rincon is 1.76 and Pedro Martinez is 2.15, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.
What is the head-to-head between Daniel Rincon and Pedro Martinez?
They have met 3 times and Pedro Martinez leads 2-1.
Who will win Daniel Rincon vs Pedro Martinez?
Our model makes it Daniel Rincon to win at 1.76 (Lean confidence).