THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 09 OCTOBERMATCHES 136EVENTS 35ALERTS 106
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-08 11:00

Daniel Rincon v Pedro Martinez

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
D. Rincon to win1.76
Worth backing at 1.72 or bigger · our chance 58% · market 55/45, us 58/42

D. Rincon is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-12 on clay this season. P. Martinez is 6-4 over the last ten and 19-20 on clay this season. The head to head is D. Rincon 1-1.

The pick is D. Rincon to win. We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.72 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. RinconP. Martinez
245Ranking132
5-5Last 106-4
WLWWLLast 5WLLWW
+0.5V the odds+0.7
37-26Season31-28
25-12Clay 202619-20
2Last 7 days1
3dDays rest3d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. RinconFAV1.7655%
P. Martinez2.1545%
Market says55% Rincon

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Rincon1
P. Martinez2
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-08VillenaD. RinconvP. Martinez0 - 2
2026-06-16ParmaP. MartinezvD. Rincon0 - 2
2023-06-20Blois Challenger MenD. RinconvP. Martinez0 - 2

This season & this event

D. Rincon
P. Martinez
37-27
25-13
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-28
21-20
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daniel Rincon
Spain
Pedro Martinez
Spain
245
23
Spain
36–26
1
11–12
25–14
0–0
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
132
29
Spain
30–27
1
10–5
20–21
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Rincon — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-08VillenaClayP. Martinez0 - 21.7655%LOST
2026-10-05VillenaClayA. Sanchez Quilez2 - 01.5064%WON
2026-10-02PortoClayD. Jorda Sanchis0 - 21.3671%LOST
2026-09-30PortoClayL. Djere2 - 02.2757%WON
2026-09-29PortoClayF. Tabacco0 - 21.3669%WON
2026-09-21St. TropezHardD. Prizmic2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-17RennesHard (Indoor)T. Droguet1 - 23.4873%LOST
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)H. Stewart1 - 0 RET1.4965%WON
2026-09-09CassisHardU. Blanchet2 - 11.9952%LOST
2026-09-08CassisHardM. Dhamne0 - 21.3969%WON

P. Martinez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-09VillenaClayP. Llamas Ruiz0 - 1 RET2.2958%WON
2026-10-08VillenaClayD. Rincon0 - 22.1555%WON
2026-10-05VillenaClayA. Holmgren1 - 22.2058%WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayE. Ribeiro2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-13GenovaClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 02.5762%LOST
2026-09-12GenovaClayL. Djere1 - 22.6263%WON
2026-09-11GenovaClayV. Aboian2 - 01.2181%WON
2026-09-09GenovaClayM. Zeitune2 - 01.2179%WON
2026-09-08GenovaClayF. Forti2 - 01.4268%WON
2026-09-03ComoClayJ. Clarke2 - 11.5959%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Daniel Rincon or Pedro Martinez?

Daniel Rincon is favourite at 1.76, which is a 55% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Daniel Rincon vs Pedro Martinez?

Daniel Rincon is 1.76 and Pedro Martinez is 2.15, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Daniel Rincon and Pedro Martinez?

They have met 3 times and Pedro Martinez leads 2-1.

Who will win Daniel Rincon vs Pedro Martinez?

Our model makes it Daniel Rincon to win at 1.76 (Lean confidence).

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