Nick Hardt v Felipe Meligeni Alves
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTN. Hardt is 5-5 over the last ten and 30-8 on clay this season. F. Meligeni Alves is 5-5 over the last ten and 19-10 on clay this season.
The pick is N. Hardt to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 65% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.55 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| N. Hardt | F. Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| 275 | Ranking | 453 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WWWLL | Last 5 | WLWLL |
| +0.5 | V the odds | +0.2 |
| 38-12 | Season | 24-16 |
| 30-8 | Clay 2026 | 19-10 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Antofagasta | N. HardtvF. Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
N. Hardt — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Antofagasta | Clay | F. Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | 2.51 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | G. Villanueva | 1 - 2 | 2.10 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | O. Kandil | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | K. Mabrouk | 2 - 0 | 1.22 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Porto 2 | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 1 - 2 | 3.28 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Augsburg | Clay | K. Wehnelt | 2 - 1 | 1.52 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Prague | Clay | O. Krutykh | 2 - 0 | 2.01 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Prague | Clay | J. Filip | 0 - 2 | 1.23 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-10 | Todi | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | 2.75 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-07-09 | Bogota | Hard | L. Claverie | 2 - 0 | 1.25 | 77% | LOST |
F. Meligeni Alves — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Antofagasta | Clay | N. Hardt | 0 - 2 | 1.46 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | 1.98 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | G. Heide | 2 - 0 | 3.35 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | C. M. Zarate | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | H. Dellien | 2 - 0 | 2.92 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | A. Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | 1.87 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | D. Svrcina | 2 - 0 | 4.25 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Cancun 2 | Hard | M. Kouame | 0 - 2 | 2.07 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Cancun 2 | Hard | D. Blanch | 1 - 2 | 1.61 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Cancun 2 | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 | 2.30 | 60% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Nick Hardt or Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Felipe Meligeni Alves is favourite at 1.46, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Nick Hardt is 2.51 and Felipe Meligeni Alves is 1.46, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.
What is the head-to-head between Nick Hardt and Felipe Meligeni Alves?
They have met 1 time and Felipe Meligeni Alves leads 1-0.
Who will win Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Our model makes it Nick Hardt to win a set (Lean confidence).