THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 08 OCTOBERMATCHES 246EVENTS 34LIVE 2ALERTS 152
ChallengerClayAntofagasta2026-10-07 15:00

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida v Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
M. Pucinelli de Almeida to win1.33
Price too short today - wait for 1.46 or bigger · our chance 69% · market 69/31, us 69/31

M. Pucinelli de Almeida is 5-5 over the last ten and 29-12 on clay this season. G. A. Olivieri is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-19 on clay this season. The head to head is M. Pucinelli de Almeida 2-3.

The pick is M. Pucinelli de Almeida to win. We make it a 69% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.46 or bigger. At 1.33 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. Pucinelli de AlmeidaG. A. Olivieri
255Ranking291
5-5Last 105-5
WLWWLLast 5WLWLL
+0.5V the odds+0.4
35-19Season23-26
29-12Clay 202618-19
3Last 7 days2
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
2-3

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Pucinelli de AlmeidaFAV1.4069%
G. A. Olivieri3.0531%
Market says69% Almeida

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Pucinelli de Almeida3
G. A. Olivieri3
Head to head6 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-07AntofagastaM. Pucinelli de AlmeidavG. A. Olivieri2 - 0
2023-08-08Santo Domingo Challenger MenM. Pucinelli de AlmeidavG. A. Olivieri1 - 2
2022-06-20WimbledonG. A. OlivierivM. Pucinelli de Almeida0 - 2
2022-03-07SantiagoM. Pucinelli de AlmeidavG. A. Olivieri2 - 1
2021-12-09FlorianopolisG. A. OlivierivM. Pucinelli de Almeida2 - 0
2021-11-23BrasiliaG. A. OlivierivM. Pucinelli de Almeida2 - 1

This season & this event

M. Pucinelli de Almeida
G. A. Olivieri
36-19
30-12
Lost R32 to E. Nava
Lost R16 to A. Collarini
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
23-27
18-20
Lost R32 to T. Barrios Vera
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Brazil
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Argentina
255
25
Brazil
34–19
1
3–3
31–14
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
291
28
Argentina
22–26
1
1–2
21–23
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Pucinelli de Almeida — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07AntofagastaClayG. A. Olivieri2 - 01.4069%WON
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayA. Barrena0 - 21.7054%WON
2026-10-02CuritibaClayT. Barrios Vera1 - 22.0052%LOST
2026-09-30CuritibaClayJ. Reis Da Silva1 - 21.5361%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayP. A. Saraiva Dos Santos2 - 11.1682%WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayH. Dellien1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryR. Bertola1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-02MallorcaHardJ. D. Hara Friend0 - 22.0352%LOST
2026-09-01MallorcaHardM. Gengel2 - 01.3670%WON
2026-08-31MallorcaHardC. Langmo2 - 01.3372%WON

G. A. Olivieri — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07AntofagastaClayM. Pucinelli de Almeida2 - 03.0569%LOST
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayV. Aboian2 - 01.5661%WON
2026-10-01CuritibaClayP. Boscardin Dias2 - 02.0455%LOST
2026-09-29CuritibaClayL. Andrade da Silva0 - 21.6955%WON
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayV. Aboian1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-11SevilleClayM. Alcala Gurri2 - 12.3058%LOST
2026-09-10SevilleClayT. Pereira2 - 01.7157%WON
2026-09-07SevilleClayD. Blanch2 - 12.0352%WON
2026-09-01Porto 2ClayN. Visker1 - 21.4765%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardT. Barrios Vera0 - 24.2077%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida or Genaro Alberto Olivieri?

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is favourite at 1.40, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri?

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is 1.40 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri is 3.05, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

What is the head-to-head between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Genaro Alberto Olivieri?

They have met 6 times and they are level at 3-3.

Who will win Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri?

Our model makes it Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida to win at 1.33 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event