THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 15 OCTOBERMATCHES 217EVENTS 35LIVE 6ALERTS 148
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Roanne2026-10-14 10:00

Mika Brunold v Benjamin Bonzi

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
B. Bonzi to win1.37
Price too short today - wait for 1.41 or bigger · our chance 71% · market 30/70, us 29/71

B. Bonzi is 7-3 over the last ten and 29-17 on hard this season. M. Brunold is 9-1 over the last ten and 9-5 on hard this season.

The pick is B. Bonzi to win. We make it a 71% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.41 or bigger. At 1.37 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. BrunoldB. Bonzi
410Ranking97
9-1Last 107-3
WLWWWLast 5WLLWW
+3.7V the odds+2.7
37-17Season35-25
9-5Hard 202629-17
1Last 7 days1
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Brunold3.2130%
B. BonziFAV1.3870%
Market says70% Bonzi

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Brunold1
B. Bonzi0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-14RoanneM. BrunoldvB. Bonzi2 - 1

This season & this event

M. Brunold
B. Bonzi
38-17
10-5
Lost QF to M. Martineau
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-26
29-18
Did not play
Champion

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Mika Brunold
Switzerland
Benjamin Bonzi
France
410
22
Switzerland
34–16
1
11–6
22–10
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
97
30
France
34–24
0
24–15
4–6
6–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Brunold — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14RoanneHard (Indoor)B. Bonzi2 - 13.2170%WON
2026-10-12RoanneHard (Indoor)M. Domenc2 - 01.1385%WON
2026-09-18BiellaClayC. A. Caniato1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-17BiellaClayF. Forti0 - 21.3966%WON
2026-09-14BiellaClayM. Giunta2 - 11.3568%WON
2026-09-13TullnClayJ. Reis Da Silva0 - 21.6061%WON
2026-09-12TullnClayV. Sachko0 - 21.8752%WON
2026-09-11TullnClayG. Heide2 - 03.2170%WON
2026-09-10TullnClayF. Misolic1 - 22.2557%WON
2026-09-08TullnClayM. Damas0 - 1 RET1.6060%WON

B. Bonzi — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14RoanneHard (Indoor)M. Brunold2 - 11.3870%LOST
2026-10-12RoanneHard (Indoor)H. Grenier1 - 21.3074%WON
2026-09-28PortoClayA. Holmgren0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-05US OpenHardK. Khachanov3 - 03.0668%LOST
2026-09-03US OpenHardI. Buse3 - 02.0151%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardA. Molcan1 - 31.4766%WON
2026-08-28Winston-SalemHardI. Buse2 - 11.7655%LOST
2026-08-27Winston-SalemHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 02.7665%WON
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardR. Hijikata0 - 21.9851%WON
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardQ. Halys2 - 12.5562%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Mika Brunold or Benjamin Bonzi?

Benjamin Bonzi is favourite at 1.38, which is a 70% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Mika Brunold vs Benjamin Bonzi?

Mika Brunold is 3.21 and Benjamin Bonzi is 1.38, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.

What is the head-to-head between Mika Brunold and Benjamin Bonzi?

They have met 1 time and Mika Brunold leads 1-0.

Who will win Mika Brunold vs Benjamin Bonzi?

Our model makes it Benjamin Bonzi to win at 1.37 (Lean confidence).

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