THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 15 OCTOBERMATCHES 217EVENTS 35LIVE 6ALERTS 148
ChallengerHardOlbia2026-10-14 11:00

Michael Mmoh v Daniel Rincon

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
M. Mmoh to win1.85
Price too short today - wait for 1.95 or bigger · our chance 51% · market 52/48, us 51/49

M. Mmoh is 5-5 over the last ten and 30-15 on hard this season. D. Rincon is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-14 on hard this season.

The pick is M. Mmoh to win. We make it a 51% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.95 or bigger. At 1.85 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. MmohD. Rincon
285Ranking245
5-5Last 105-5
WLLWWLast 5WLWLW
+0.2V the odds-0.5
31-20Season38-27
30-15Hard 202613-14
1Last 7 days2
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. MmohFAV1.8552%
D. Rincon2.0048%
Market says52% Mmoh

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Mmoh1
D. Rincon0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-14OlbiaM. MmohvD. Rincon2 - 0

This season & this event

M. Mmoh
D. Rincon
32-20
31-15
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
38-28
13-15
Reached R32
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Michael Mmoh
USA
Daniel Rincon
Spain
285
28
USA
4–1
0
4–1
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
245
23
Spain
37–27
1
12–13
25–14
0–0

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Mmoh — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14OlbiaHardD. Rincon2 - 01.8552%WON
2026-10-12OlbiaHardL. Djere2 - 02.2156%WON
2026-09-28PortoClayL. Djere0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-21TiburonHardDar. Blanch2 - 11.9350%LOST
2026-09-20TiburonHardJ.J. Wolf2 - 02.3659%WON
2026-09-18TiburonHardA. Shelbayh0 - 21.6059%WON
2026-09-16TiburonHardP. Maloney0 - 21.2774%WON
2026-09-14TiburonHardK. Sell0 - 21.2179%WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardH. Rocha2 - 02.4260%LOST
2026-08-11Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardE. Butvilas0 - 22.0152%LOST

D. Rincon — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14OlbiaHardM. Mmoh2 - 02.0052%LOST
2026-10-12OlbiaHardS. Pieri0 - 21.2081%WON
2026-10-08VillenaClayP. Martinez0 - 21.7655%LOST
2026-10-05VillenaClayA. Sanchez Quilez2 - 01.5064%WON
2026-10-02PortoClayD. Jorda Sanchis0 - 21.3671%LOST
2026-09-30PortoClayL. Djere2 - 02.1354%WON
2026-09-29PortoClayF. Tabacco0 - 21.3669%WON
2026-09-21St. TropezHardD. Prizmic2 - 04.5080%LOST
2026-09-17RennesHard (Indoor)T. Droguet1 - 23.4873%LOST
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)H. Stewart1 - 0 RET1.4965%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Michael Mmoh or Daniel Rincon?

Michael Mmoh is favourite at 1.85, which is a 52% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Michael Mmoh vs Daniel Rincon?

Michael Mmoh is 1.85 and Daniel Rincon is 2.00, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.

What is the head-to-head between Michael Mmoh and Daniel Rincon?

They have met 1 time and Michael Mmoh leads 1-0.

Who will win Michael Mmoh vs Daniel Rincon?

Our model makes it Michael Mmoh to win at 1.85 (Lean confidence).

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