Max Purcell v Filip Peliwo
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTM. Purcell is 8-2 over the last ten and 17-5 on hard this season. F. Peliwo is 6-4 over the last ten and 21-29 on hard this season. M. Purcell has played 4 matches in seven days. F. Peliwo retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is M. Purcell 1-0.
The pick is M. Purcell to win. We make it a 93% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.09 or bigger. At 1.04 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Purcell | F. Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| 803 | Ranking | 648 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWWWL | Last 5 | LLWWL |
| +0.4 | V the odds | +0.7 |
| 17-5 | Season | 25-30 |
| 17-5 | Hard 2026 | 21-29 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 2d | Days rest | 8d |
| 1 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | M. PurcellvF. Peliwo | 0 - 2 |
| 2019-05-07 | Busan | M. PurcellvF. Peliwo | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Purcell — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | F. Peliwo | 0 - 2 | 1.04 | 92% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | J. De Cuyper | 2 - 0 | 1.02 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | M15 Luan 4 | Hard | T. Yamanaka | 0 - 2 | 1.05 | 88% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | M15 Luan 4 | Hard | Z. Zhao | 0 - 2 | 1.02 | 93% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | M15 Luan 4 | Hard | J. Yamasaki | 0 - 2 | 1.05 | 88% | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | I. Simakin | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | C. Hewitt | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | B. Ellis | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | R. Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification | Hard | A. Andrade | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
F. Peliwo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | T. Derepasko | 2 - 0 | 1.81 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | M. Purcell | 0 - 2 | 12.30 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | M. Bellucci | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | K. S. Chen | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | E. Aguiard | 2 - 0 | 3.68 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | X. D. Chen | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | M. Kouame | 1 - 0 RET | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | T. Sach | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | S. Ryan Ziegann | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | A. Rathi | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Max Purcell or Filip Peliwo?
Max Purcell is favourite at 1.04, which is a 92% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Max Purcell vs Filip Peliwo?
Max Purcell is 1.04 and Filip Peliwo is 12.30, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.
What is the head-to-head between Max Purcell and Filip Peliwo?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Max Purcell vs Filip Peliwo?
Our model makes it Max Purcell to win at 1.04 (Lean confidence).