Keisuke Saitoh v Dominik Palan
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONK. Saitoh is 8-2 over the last ten and 35-18 on hard this season. D. Palan is 2-8 over the last ten and 23-23 on hard this season. The head to head is K. Saitoh 0-1.
The pick is K. Saitoh to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.75 or bigger. At 1.60 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| K. Saitoh | D. Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 500 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 2-8 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | LLLLL |
| +0.4 | V the odds | - |
| 35-18 | Season | 23-25 |
| 35-18 | Hard 2026 | 23-23 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 1d | Days rest | 8d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | K. SaitohvD. Palan | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-06-15 | ITF M25 Changwon Men | K. SaitohvD. Palan | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
K. Saitoh — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | H. Moriya | 0 - 2 | 1.88 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | D. Palan | 2 - 0 | 1.60 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | Y. Takahashi | 2 - 1 | 1.59 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | Z. Wang | 2 - 0 | 1.03 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | M. Bellucci | 2 - 0 | 7.80 | 88% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | K. Matsuda | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | M25 Sapporo | Hard | J. Roddick | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | M25 Sapporo | Hard | S. C. Hong | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | M25 Sapporo | Hard | K. Lee | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | M25 Sapporo | Hard | Y. Tanaka | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
D. Palan — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | K. Saitoh | 2 - 0 | 2.15 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | T. Atmane | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | K. S. Chen | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | M. Borisiouk | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | H. Moriya | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | W. K. Leong M. | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-30 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | S. Nam Ji | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-10 | Astana | Hard | S. Pankin | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | M25+H Tauste | Hard | Pa. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-23 | Segovia | Hard | Y. Erel | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Keisuke Saitoh or Dominik Palan?
Keisuke Saitoh is favourite at 1.60, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Keisuke Saitoh vs Dominik Palan?
Keisuke Saitoh is 1.60 and Dominik Palan is 2.15, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.
What is the head-to-head between Keisuke Saitoh and Dominik Palan?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Keisuke Saitoh vs Dominik Palan?
Our model makes it Keisuke Saitoh to win at 1.60 (Lean confidence).