THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ChallengerHardWuning 3 (China) - Qualification2026-10-05 05:30

Max Purcell v Blake Bayldon

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanVOID
M. Purcell to win1.01
Price too short today - wait for 1.12 or bigger · our chance 90% · market 92/8, us 90/10

M. Purcell is 8-2 over the last ten. B. Bayldon is 1-0 over the last ten. M. Purcell has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is M. Purcell to win. We make it a 90% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.12 or bigger. At 1.01 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. PurcellB. Bayldon
803Ranking-
8-2Last 101-0
WWWWLLast 5W
+0.4V the odds+0.8
17-5Season1-0
-Surface-
4Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. PurcellFAV1.0192%
B. Bayldon11.008%
Market says92% Purcell

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Purcell
B. Bayldon
17-6
17-6
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
1-0
1-0
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Max Purcell
Australia
Blake Bayldon
Australia
803
28
Australia
11–4
1
11–4
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
1425
27
Australia
2–4
0
2–3
—
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Purcell — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardF. Peliwo0 - 21.0492%LOST
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardJ. De Cuyper2 - 01.0290%WON
2026-10-02M15 Luan 4HardT. Yamanaka0 - 21.0588%WON
2026-10-01M15 Luan 4HardZ. Zhao0 - 21.0293%WON
2026-09-29M15 Luan 4HardJ. Yamasaki0 - 21.0588%WON
2026-09-12Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardI. Simakin2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-11Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardC. Hewitt0 - 2——WON
2026-09-09Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardB. Ellis0 - 2——WON
2026-09-08Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardR. Pacheco Mendez2 - 0——WON
2026-08-27Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - QualificationHardA. Andrade0 - 2——LOST

B. Bayldon — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardT. Ichikawa2 - 05.5083%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Max Purcell or Blake Bayldon?

Max Purcell is favourite at 1.01, which is a 92% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Max Purcell vs Blake Bayldon?

Max Purcell is 1.01 and Blake Bayldon is 11.00, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.

Who will win Max Purcell vs Blake Bayldon?

Our model makes it Max Purcell to win at 1.01 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event