Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida v Tomas Barrios Vera
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTM. Pucinelli de Almeida is 5-5 over the last ten and 28-11 on clay this season. T. Barrios Vera is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-13 on clay this season. The head to head is M. Pucinelli de Almeida 2-2.
The pick is M. Pucinelli de Almeida to win. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.84 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Pucinelli de Almeida | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| 260 | Ranking | 135 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WWLLL | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| +0.3 | V the odds | -0.6 |
| 34-18 | Season | 26-26 |
| 28-11 | Clay 2026 | 13-13 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavT. Barrios Vera | 1 - 2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Costa do Sauipe | M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavT. Barrios Vera | 2 - 1 |
| 2024-10-17 | Campinas Challenger Men | M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavT. Barrios Vera | 0 - 2 |
| 2022-03-18 | Concepcion 2 | M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavT. Barrios Vera | 1 - 2 |
| 2021-11-08 | Montevideo | T. BarriosvM. Pucinelli de Almeida | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Pucinelli de Almeida — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | Clay | T. Barrios Vera | 1 - 2 | 2.00 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | 1.53 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | 1.16 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | R. Bertola | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | J. D. Hara Friend | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | M. Gengel | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Mallorca | Hard | C. Langmo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | O. Tarvet | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | O. Tarvet | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
T. Barrios Vera — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Curitiba | Clay | G. I. Justo | 2 - 1 | 1.38 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | Clay | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 1 - 2 | 1.85 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | J. B. Torres | 0 - 2 | 1.33 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | A. Blockx | 3 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | D. Rincon | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | G. A. Olivieri | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | J. C. Prado Angelo | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Cancun 2 | Hard | R. Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-01 | Montreal | Hard | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida or Tomas Barrios Vera?
Tomas Barrios Vera is favourite at 1.85, which is a 52% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is 2.00 and Tomas Barrios Vera is 1.85, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.
What is the head-to-head between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Tomas Barrios Vera?
They have met 5 times and Tomas Barrios Vera leads 3-2.
Who will win Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model makes it Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida to win at 1.95 (Strong confidence).