Gustavo Heide v Lautaro Midon
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONG. Heide is 8-2 over the last ten and 29-13 on clay this season. L. Midon is 7-3 over the last ten and 24-15 on clay this season.
The pick is G. Heide to win. We make it a 68% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.49 or bigger. At 1.38 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| G. Heide | L. Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| 123 | Ranking | 200 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WWLLW |
| +0.5 | V the odds | +0.5 |
| 36-21 | Season | 32-21 |
| 29-13 | Clay 2026 | 24-15 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Defending title | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | G. HeidevL. Midon | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
G. Heide — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Curitiba | Clay | P. Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | 1.18 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | Clay | L. Midon | 2 - 0 | 1.38 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | F. Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | 1.32 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | H. Casanova | 2 - 0 | 1.17 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | S. Wawrinka | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | Tulln | Clay | M. Brunold | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-10 | Tulln | Clay | D. Dedura | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Tulln | Clay | S. Cuenin | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | Porto 2 | Clay | F. Mena | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-04 | Porto 2 | Clay | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
L. Midon — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | Clay | G. Heide | 2 - 0 | 2.95 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | B. Fernandez | 0 - 2 | 1.12 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | M. Soto | 0 - 2 | 1.55 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | K. Jacquet | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | C. Chidekh | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | I. Marcondes | 1 - 1 RET | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | D. Martin | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-16 | Bastad | Clay | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-14 | Bastad | Clay | F. Diaz Acosta | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-13 | Bastad | Clay | I. Marcondes | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Gustavo Heide or Lautaro Midon?
Gustavo Heide is favourite at 1.38, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Gustavo Heide vs Lautaro Midon?
Gustavo Heide is 1.38 and Lautaro Midon is 2.95, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.
What is the head-to-head between Gustavo Heide and Lautaro Midon?
They have met 1 time and Gustavo Heide leads 1-0.
Who will win Gustavo Heide vs Lautaro Midon?
Our model makes it Gustavo Heide to win at 1.38 (Lean confidence).