THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 03 OCTOBERMATCHES 81EVENTS 33ALERTS 41
ChallengerClayCuritiba2026-10-02 15:00

Guido Ivan Justo v Gonzalo Villanueva

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
G. I. Justo to win1.57
Price too short today - wait for 1.72 or bigger · our chance 58% · market 60/40, us 58/42

G. I. Justo is 5-5 over the last ten and 40-22 on clay this season. G. Villanueva is 8-2 over the last ten and 45-22 on clay this season. The head to head is G. I. Justo 5-0.

The pick is G. I. Justo to win. We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.72 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

G. I. JustoG. Villanueva
263Ranking376
5-5Last 108-2
WWLWLLast 5WWLWW
+0.1V the odds+1.1
44-25Season46-24
40-22Clay 202645-22
2Last 7 days2
1dDays rest1d
2Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
5-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

G. I. JustoFAV1.5762%
G. Villanueva2.5238%
Market says62% Justo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

G. I. Justo6
G. Villanueva0
Head to head6 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-02CuritibaG. I. JustovG. Villanueva2 - 0
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3G. VillanuevavG. I. Justo1 - 2
2026-02-24Tigre 2G. VillanuevavG. I. Justo0 - 2
2025-04-28Porto AlegreG. I. JustovG. Villanueva2 - 0
2025-02-03RosarioG. VillanuevavG. I. Justo0 - 2
2023-04-19Florianopolis Challenger MenG. VillanuevavG. I. Justo1 - 2

This season & this event

G. I. Justo
G. Villanueva
46-25
42-22
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
46-26
45-24
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Guido Ivan Justo
Argentina
Gonzalo Villanueva
Argentina
263
28
Argentina
23–12
1
—
23–12
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
376
31
Argentina
8–12
0
—
8–12
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

G. I. Justo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-03CuritibaClayT. Barrios Vera2 - 12.7266%WON
2026-10-02CuritibaClayG. Villanueva2 - 01.5762%WON
2026-10-01CuritibaClayP. Sakamoto2 - 01.4465%WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayF. Roncadelli2 - 01.8053%WON
2026-09-23Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Mena2 - 02.2057%LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayG. Villanueva1 - 2——WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardH. Gaston2 - 0——LOST
2026-07-30LiberecClayJ. B. Torres0 - 2——LOST
2026-07-28LiberecClayS. Gueymard Wayenburg2 - 0——WON
2026-07-23TampereClayD. Dedura2 - 0——LOST

G. Villanueva — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02CuritibaClayG. I. Justo2 - 02.5262%LOST
2026-10-01CuritibaClayM. Alves0 - 22.7266%WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayJ. C. Prado Angelo2 - 13.1069%WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayG. I. Justo1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-29M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayJ. Aguilar Cardozo1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-28M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayS. De La Fuente2 - 0——WON
2026-08-27M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayV. A. Darderi2 - 0——WON
2026-08-26M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)ClayL. C. Castro2 - 0——WON
2026-08-22M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)ClayJ. Aguilar Cardozo0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-21M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay)ClayD. Bobo2 - 0——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Guido Ivan Justo or Gonzalo Villanueva?

Guido Ivan Justo is favourite at 1.57, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Guido Ivan Justo vs Gonzalo Villanueva?

Guido Ivan Justo is 1.57 and Gonzalo Villanueva is 2.52, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between Guido Ivan Justo and Gonzalo Villanueva?

They have met 6 times and Guido Ivan Justo leads 6-0.

Who will win Guido Ivan Justo vs Gonzalo Villanueva?

Our model makes it Guido Ivan Justo to win at 1.57 (Lean confidence).

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