Martin Landaluce v Keegan Smith
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidWONK. Smith is 5-5 over the last ten and 33-20 on hard this season. M. Landaluce is 4-6 over the last ten and 16-18 on hard this season.
The pick is K. Smith to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.62 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Landaluce | K. Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| 73 | Ranking | 202 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WWLLW | Last 5 | WWLLW |
| -1.4 | V the odds | -0.3 |
| 29-28 | Season | 41-27 |
| 16-18 | Hard 2026 | 33-20 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Landaluce — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | K. Smith | 2 - 1 | 1.35 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-10-14 | Jinan | Hard | J. Cui | 2 - 0 | 1.31 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | I. Simakin | 2 - 0 | 1.74 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | J-L. Struff | 0 - 2 | 2.03 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | M. Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | M. Soto | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Seville | Clay | D. Lajovic | 2 - 0 | 1.71 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | J. Fearnley | 2 - 3 | 1.86 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-23 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Bellucci | 1 - 2 | 1.81 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 0 | 2.10 | 55% | LOST |
K. Smith — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | M. Landaluce | 2 - 1 | 3.48 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-10-14 | Jinan | Hard | V. Kopriva | 2 - 1 | 2.72 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | S. Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | 2.36 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | H. Moriya | 1 - 2 | 1.38 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | M. Krueger | 2 - 0 | 1.79 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-10-01 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | B. Nakashima | 1 - 2 | 1.75 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | K. Bigun | 1 - 2 | 1.33 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | D. Dietrich | 0 - 2 | 2.29 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | E. Winter | 2 - 1 | 1.61 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Tiburon | Hard | M. Krueger | 2 - 1 | 1.50 | 62% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Martin Landaluce or Keegan Smith?
Martin Landaluce is favourite at 1.35, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith?
Martin Landaluce is 1.35 and Keegan Smith is 3.48, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.
Who will win Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith?
Our model makes it Keegan Smith to win a set (Solid confidence).