Alexander Shevchenko v Mattia Bellucci
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidWONM. Bellucci is 8-2 over the last ten and 24-18 on hard this season. A. Shevchenko is 4-6 over the last ten and 20-21 on hard this season.
The pick is M. Bellucci to win. We make it a 70% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.43 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Shevchenko | M. Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| 109 | Ranking | 86 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| WWLLL | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| -0.9 | V the odds | +0.9 |
| 29-34 | Season | 37-28 |
| 20-21 | Hard 2026 | 24-18 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | A. ShevchenkovM. Bellucci | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Shevchenko — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | M. Bellucci | 0 - 2 | 2.79 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan | Hard | J. D. Hara Friend | 2 - 0 | 1.85 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | M. Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | 3.00 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Nishioka | 0 - 2 | 1.51 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | 4.93 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | K. Samrej | 1 - 2 | 1.35 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | M. Jones | 2 - 1 | 1.15 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | D. Prizmic | 3 - 2 | 3.29 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | 2.82 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | C. O'Connell | 0 - 2 | 1.81 | 53% | LOST |
M. Bellucci — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 0 - 2 | 1.24 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | E. Ymer | 0 - 2 | 1.26 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Zhou | 1 - 2 | 1.29 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Muller | 2 - 0 | 1.46 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | E. Ymer | 2 - 1 | 1.11 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Jingshan | Hard | L. Harris | 1 - 2 | 2.05 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-10-03 | Jingshan | Hard | Y. Erel | 0 - 2 | 1.25 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Walton | 0 - 2 | 1.87 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Jingshan | Hard | A. Muller | 2 - 0 | 1.53 | 63% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alexander Shevchenko or Mattia Bellucci?
Mattia Bellucci is favourite at 1.49, which is a 65% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alexander Shevchenko vs Mattia Bellucci?
Alexander Shevchenko is 2.79 and Mattia Bellucci is 1.49, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.
What is the head-to-head between Alexander Shevchenko and Mattia Bellucci?
They have met 1 time and Mattia Bellucci leads 1-0.
Who will win Alexander Shevchenko vs Mattia Bellucci?
Our model makes it Mattia Bellucci to win at 1.49 (Solid confidence).