THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 16 OCTOBERMATCHES 147EVENTS 38LIVE 21ALERTS 44
ChallengerHardJinan2026-10-16 04:00

Alexander Shevchenko v Mattia Bellucci

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
M. Bellucci to win1.49
Worth backing at 1.43 or bigger · our chance 70% · market 35/65, us 30/70

M. Bellucci is 8-2 over the last ten and 24-18 on hard this season. A. Shevchenko is 4-6 over the last ten and 20-21 on hard this season.

The pick is M. Bellucci to win. We make it a 70% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.43 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. ShevchenkoM. Bellucci
109Ranking86
4-6Last 108-2
WWLLLLast 5WWLWW
-0.9V the odds+0.9
29-34Season37-28
20-21Hard 202624-18
2Last 7 days2
1dDays rest1d
2Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. Shevchenko2.7935%
M. BellucciFAV1.4965%
Market says65% Bellucci

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Shevchenko0
M. Bellucci1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-16JinanA. ShevchenkovM. Bellucci0 - 2

This season & this event

A. Shevchenko
M. Bellucci
29-35
20-22
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
38-28
25-18
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Alexander Shevchenko
Kazakhstan
Mattia Bellucci
Italy
109
25
Kazakhstan
27–31
0
12–15
14–12
0–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
86
25
Italy
34–28
0
22–17
7–7
5–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Shevchenko — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-16JinanHardM. Bellucci0 - 22.7965%LOST
2026-10-15JinanHardJ. D. Hara Friend2 - 01.8552%WON
2026-10-12JinanHardM. Kecmanovic0 - 23.0068%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardY. Nishioka0 - 21.5164%LOST
2026-09-23ChengduHardH. Hurkacz0 - 24.9380%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryK. Samrej1 - 21.3570%LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryM. Jones2 - 11.1581%WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardD. Prizmic3 - 23.2970%LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 02.8266%LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardC. O'Connell0 - 21.8153%LOST

M. Bellucci — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-16JinanHardA. Shevchenko0 - 21.4965%WON
2026-10-15JinanHardL. Pavlovic0 - 21.2478%WON
2026-10-12JinanHardE. Ymer0 - 21.2677%WON
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardY. Zhou1 - 21.2975%LOST
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardA. Muller2 - 01.4666%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardE. Ymer2 - 11.1186%WON
2026-10-04JingshanHardL. Harris1 - 22.0553%LOST
2026-10-03JingshanHardY. Erel0 - 21.2574%WON
2026-10-01JingshanHardA. Walton0 - 21.8752%WON
2026-09-30JingshanHardA. Muller2 - 01.5363%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alexander Shevchenko or Mattia Bellucci?

Mattia Bellucci is favourite at 1.49, which is a 65% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alexander Shevchenko vs Mattia Bellucci?

Alexander Shevchenko is 2.79 and Mattia Bellucci is 1.49, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.

What is the head-to-head between Alexander Shevchenko and Mattia Bellucci?

They have met 1 time and Mattia Bellucci leads 1-0.

Who will win Alexander Shevchenko vs Mattia Bellucci?

Our model makes it Mattia Bellucci to win at 1.49 (Solid confidence).

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