Mark Lajal v Lucas Poullain
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTM. Lajal is 7-3 over the last ten and 28-16 on hard this season. L. Poullain is 6-4 over the last ten and 31-18 on hard this season. The head to head is M. Lajal 2-0.
The pick is M. Lajal to win. We make it a 78% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.28 or bigger. At 1.20 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Lajal | L. Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| 140 | Ranking | 337 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | LLWLL |
| +0.1 | V the odds | +1.1 |
| 37-24 | Season | 36-23 |
| 28-16 | Hard 2026 | 31-18 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 3d | Days rest | 5d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-23 | Orleans Challenger Men | M. LajalvL. Poullain | 2 - 1 |
| 2024-02-14 | Cherbourg Challenger Men | L. PoullainvM. Lajal | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Lajal — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | L. Poullain | 1 - 2 | 1.24 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | St. Tropez | Hard | T. Droguet | 2 - 0 | 2.04 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | St. Tropez | Hard | T. Faurel | 0 - 2 | 1.19 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | D. Goffin | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Cassis | Hard | T. Droguet | 2 - 0 | 2.11 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-09-12 | Cassis | Hard | D. Masur | 2 - 0 | 1.21 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Cassis | Hard | S. Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | 1.40 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Cassis | Hard | L. Couturier | 0 - 2 | 1.01 | 95% | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | Mallorca | Hard | F. Balshaw | 0 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | Mallorca | Hard | I. Ivanov | 1 - 2 | 1.18 | 80% | WON |
L. Poullain — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | M. Lajal | 1 - 2 | 3.95 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Setubal | Hard | D. Morais | 2 - 0 | 1.23 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-16 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | C. Chidekh | 0 - 2 | 3.55 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | D. Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | 1.33 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Cassis | Hard | M. Echargui | 2 - 0 | 2.15 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-22 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | O. Tarvet | 2 - 0 | 3.81 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | L. Maxted | 0 - 2 | 1.74 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | M. Geerts | 1 - 2 | 1.78 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | V. Durasovic | 0 - 2 | 1.57 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | M. Basing | 2 - 0 | 2.25 | 59% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Mark Lajal or Lucas Poullain?
Mark Lajal is favourite at 1.24, which is a 76% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Mark Lajal vs Lucas Poullain?
Mark Lajal is 1.24 and Lucas Poullain is 3.95, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.
What is the head-to-head between Mark Lajal and Lucas Poullain?
They have met 2 times and Mark Lajal leads 2-0.
Who will win Mark Lajal vs Lucas Poullain?
Our model makes it Mark Lajal to win at 1.20 (Lean confidence).