THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 29 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 234EVENTS 32LIVE 6ALERTS 89
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Mouilleron-Le-Captif2026-09-28 10:00

Daniil Glinka v Henry Bernet

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
D. Glinka to win1.60
Price too short today - wait for 1.62 or bigger · our chance 62% · market 57/43, us 62/38

D. Glinka is 6-4 over the last ten and 22-16 on hard this season. H. Bernet is 8-2 over the last ten and 6-6 on hard this season. H. Bernet has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is D. Glinka to win. We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.62 or bigger. At 1.60 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. GlinkaH. Bernet
170Ranking428
6-4Last 108-2
LWWWWLast 5WWWWW
+1.1V the odds+1.0
31-27Season24-20
22-16Hard 20266-6
3Last 7 days5
3dDays rest2d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. GlinkaFAV1.6057%
H. Bernet2.0843%
Market says57% Glinka

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

D. Glinka
H. Bernet
31-27
22-16
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
24-20
6-6
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daniil Glinka
Estonia
Henry Bernet
Switzerland
170
26
Estonia
29–27
0
21–16
8–7
0–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
428
19
Switzerland
20–20
1
1–6
19–14
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Glinka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-25St. TropezHardD. Prizmic2 - 04.7179%LOST
2026-09-23St. TropezHardU. Blanchet2 - 11.9350%WON
2026-09-22St. TropezHardD. Jade2 - 01.2874%WON
2026-09-09CassisHardM. Erhard0 - 1 RET1.6259%WON
2026-09-07CassisHardR. Peniston0 - 21.3372%WON
2026-09-02MallorcaHardD. Rincon0 - 22.0954%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardZ. Piros2 - 12.4661%LOST
2026-08-25US OpenHardP. Martinez0 - 22.2457%WON
2026-08-22Kingston (Jamaica)HardP. Martinez2 - 02.0353%LOST
2026-08-20Kingston (Jamaica)HardH. Mayot2 - 02.3359%WON

H. Bernet — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-26M25 FalunHard (Indoor)S. Banerjee0 - 21.6555%WON
2026-09-25M25 FalunHard (Indoor)A. Petrovic2 - 01.2278%WON
2026-09-25M25 FalunHard (Indoor)K. Friberg0 - 21.2775%WON
2026-09-24M25 FalunHard (Indoor)C. Sigsgaard0 - 21.2477%WON
2026-09-21M25 FalunHard (Indoor)V. Frydrych0 - 21.0394%WON
2026-09-07TullnClayD. Dedura2 - 12.0553%LOST
2026-09-06TullnClayL. Wiedenmann0 - 21.2179%WON
2026-09-02ComoClayM. Dodig2 - 12.4260%LOST
2026-09-01ComoClayS. Napolitano0 - 0 RET1.7655%WON
2026-08-30M25 LausanneClayA. Chepelev0 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Daniil Glinka or Henry Bernet?

Daniil Glinka is favourite at 1.60, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Daniil Glinka vs Henry Bernet?

Daniil Glinka is 1.60 and Henry Bernet is 2.08, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.

Who will win Daniil Glinka vs Henry Bernet?

Our model makes it Daniil Glinka to win at 1.60 (Lean confidence).

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