THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 29 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 234EVENTS 32LIVE 6ALERTS 89
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Mouilleron-Le-Captif2026-09-28 10:00

Philip Henning v Tristan Schoolkate

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
T. Schoolkate to win 2-02.02
Price too short today - wait for 2.42 or bigger · our chance 41% · market 34/66, us 29/71

T. Schoolkate is 7-3 over the last ten and 24-19 on hard this season. P. Henning is 7-3 over the last ten and 23-9 on hard this season. P. Henning has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is T. Schoolkate to win 2-0. We make it a 41% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.42 or bigger. At 2.02 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. HenningT. Schoolkate
324Ranking180
7-3Last 107-3
LWWWLLast 5LLWWW
-1.2V the odds+0.6
37-20Season32-25
23-9Hard 202624-19
4Last 7 days1
2dDays rest6d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. Henning2.6334%
T. SchoolkateFAV1.3566%
Market says66% Schoolkate

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

P. Henning
T. Schoolkate
37-20
23-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
32-25
24-19
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Philip Henning
South Africa
Tristan Schoolkate
Australia
324
25
South Africa
1–0
0
1–0
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
180
25
Australia
28–24
0
18–17
6–3
4–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Henning — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-26M25 SetubalHardA. Deckers2 - 01.2673%LOST
2026-09-25M25 SetubalHardR. Bertrand0 - 21.6657%WON
2026-09-24M25 SetubalHardT. Curras Abasolo0 - 21.0391%WON
2026-09-23M25 SetubalHardJ. D. Silva1 - 2——WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryA. Nedic0 - 21.3072%LOST
2026-08-21M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2HardR. Fernandes1 - 21.1484%LOST
2026-08-20M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2HardD. Coelho2 - 01.0295%WON
2026-08-19M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2HardA. Watanabe Eriksson2 - 01.0197%WON
2026-08-16M25 Idanha-a-NovaHardD. Added0 - 21.4066%WON
2026-08-15M25 Idanha-a-NovaHardT. McCormick0 - 21.1186%WON

T. Schoolkate — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-22St. TropezHardM. Martineau2 - 11.4266%LOST
2026-09-19RennesHard (Indoor)H. Mayot0 - 22.0953%LOST
2026-09-18RennesHard (Indoor)M. Bobichon0 - 21.2077%WON
2026-09-17RennesHard (Indoor)A. Matusevich1 - 21.4763%WON
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)M. Gengel0 - 21.2076%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardN. Basavareddy1 - 33.6573%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardS. C. Hong2 - 0——WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardL. Draxl1 - 22.0553%WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardJ. Secord0 - 21.0888%WON
2026-08-18Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardS. Sakellaridis2 - 12.1455%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Philip Henning or Tristan Schoolkate?

Tristan Schoolkate is favourite at 1.35, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate?

Philip Henning is 2.63 and Tristan Schoolkate is 1.35, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.

Who will win Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate?

Our model makes it Tristan Schoolkate to win 2-0 at 2.02 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event