Mariano Navone v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanM. Navone is 4-6 over the last ten and 13-14 on hard this season. J. M. Cerundolo is 4-6 over the last ten and 16-11 on hard this season. The head to head is M. Navone 2-1.
The pick is M. Navone to win. We make it a 61% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.63 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Navone | J. M. Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Ranking | 55 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LLLWW | Last 5 | LWLLW |
| +0.1 | V the odds | -0.5 |
| 28-24 | Season | 34-24 |
| 13-14 | Hard 2026 | 16-11 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 12d | Days rest | 9d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-12 | Braunschweig | M. NavonevJ. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 |
| 2022-10-01 | Buenos Aires 2 | M. NavonevJ. M. Cerundolo | 0 - 2 |
| 2022-09-23 | Villa Maria | J. M. CerundolovM. Navone | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Navone — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | P. Carreno-Busta | 1 - 2 | 1.76 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 | 4.25 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | T. M. Etcheverry | 3 - 0 | 2.18 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | M. Berrettini | 1 - 3 | 2.57 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | N. Djokovic | 3 - 2 | 5.59 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | 1.64 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Blockx | 2 - 0 | 2.24 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | R. Collignon | 2 - 0 | 2.19 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | Hard | A. Fils | 0 - 2 | 3.92 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | V. Vacherot | 1 - 2 | 2.35 | 59% | WON |
J. M. Cerundolo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | 9.92 | 90% | LOST |
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | Hard | N. Mejia | 2 - 0 | 1.48 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | Y. Bu | 1 - 2 | 2.25 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | 2.31 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | Y. Zhou | 2 - 0 | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | A. Gea | 2 - 3 | 2.16 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | I. Buse | 1 - 2 | 1.77 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | S. Baez | 1 - 0 RET | 2.31 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | D. Suresh | 2 - 0 | 1.42 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 0 - 2 | 5.08 | 81% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Mariano Navone or Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Mariano Navone is favourite at 1.57, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Mariano Navone vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Mariano Navone is 1.57 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo is 2.37, the prices we recorded for the Brussels match.
What is the head-to-head between Mariano Navone and Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
They have met 3 times and Mariano Navone leads 2-1.
Who will win Mariano Navone vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Our model makes it Mariano Navone to win at 1.57 (Lean confidence).