Marco Trungelliti v Thiago Monteiro
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTT. Monteiro is 5-5 over the last ten and 32-19 on clay this season. M. Trungelliti is 5-5 over the last ten and 23-13 on clay this season. The head to head is M. Trungelliti 2-2.
The pick is T. Monteiro to win. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.15 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Trungelliti | T. Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 88 | Ranking | 282 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LLWLW | Last 5 | LLLWW |
| -0.7 | V the odds | -0.4 |
| 32-28 | Season | 33-20 |
| 23-13 | Clay 2026 | 32-19 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 5d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Szczecin | T. MonteirovM. Trungelliti | 2 - 1 |
| 2023-07-12 | Salzburg Challenger Men | T. MonteirovM. Trungelliti | 2 - 1 |
| 2022-04-16 | Madrid | M. TrungellitivT. Monteiro | 2 - 0 |
| 2021-09-16 | Szczecin | M. TrungellitivT. Monteiro | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Trungelliti — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | T. Monteiro | 2 - 1 | 1.69 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | R. Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | 2.88 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | A. Molcan | 0 - 2 | 2.26 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | M. Landaluce | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | Szczecin | Clay | T. Monteiro | 2 - 1 | 1.74 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | Szczecin | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 0 - 2 | 1.58 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Szczecin | Clay | F. Pieczonka | 1 - 2 | 1.20 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Szczecin | Clay | S. Cuenin | 0 - 2 | 1.43 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Seville | Clay | T. Pereira | 2 - 1 | 1.21 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | A. Blockx | 3 - 1 | 5.20 | 81% | LOST |
T. Monteiro — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Maia | Clay (Indoor) | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | 2.26 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | E. Moller | 1 - 2 | 1.57 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Petkovic | 2 - 1 | 1.25 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | Szczecin | Clay | N. Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | 2.01 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | Szczecin | Clay | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | 2.21 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | Szczecin | Clay | D. Dedura | 0 - 2 | 1.97 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Szczecin | Clay | V. Sachko | 1 - 2 | 1.78 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Szczecin | Clay | S. Travaglia | 2 - 0 | 1.83 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Tulln | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 2 - 0 | 1.40 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Tulln | Clay | M. H. Rehberg | 2 - 1 | 2.09 | 54% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Marco Trungelliti or Thiago Monteiro?
Marco Trungelliti is favourite at 1.69, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro?
Marco Trungelliti is 1.69 and Thiago Monteiro is 2.26, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.
What is the head-to-head between Marco Trungelliti and Thiago Monteiro?
They have met 4 times and they are level at 2-2.
Who will win Marco Trungelliti vs Thiago Monteiro?
Our model makes it Thiago Monteiro to win at 2.26 (Lean confidence).