Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao v Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Pucinelli de Almeida is 4-6 over the last ten and 27-11 on clay this season. J. Reis Da Silva is 4-6 over the last ten and 15-19 on clay this season. The head to head is J. Reis Da Silva 0-2.
The pick is M. Pucinelli de Almeida to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.60 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Reis Da Silva | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 260 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | WLLLW |
| -0.0 | V the odds | -0.5 |
| 20-24 | Season | 33-18 |
| 15-19 | Clay 2026 | 27-11 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | J. Reis Da SilvavM. Pucinelli de Almeida | 1 - 2 |
| 2025-09-24 | Buenos Aires 3 | M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavJ. Reis Da Silva | 2 - 1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Coquimbo | J. Reis Da SilvavM. Pucinelli de Almeida | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Reis Da Silva — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 1 - 2 | 2.50 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | M. A. Dellien Velasco | 2 - 0 | 1.28 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Tulln | Clay | M. Brunold | 0 - 2 | 2.49 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-12 | Tulln | Clay | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | 1.68 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Tulln | Clay | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | 3.09 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Tulln | Clay | A. Molcan | 0 - 2 | 4.90 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Como | Clay | G. Bueno | 2 - 0 | 2.40 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-07-28 | Bonn | Clay | T. Gentzsch | 2 - 0 | 2.74 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-07-21 | Tampere | Clay | D. Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | 1.88 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-07-14 | Bunschoten | Clay | H. Barton | 2 - 1 | 2.54 | 62% | LOST |
M. Pucinelli de Almeida — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | 1.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | 1.16 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | 2.15 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | R. Bertola | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | J. D. Hara Friend | 0 - 2 | 2.03 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | M. Gengel | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Mallorca | Hard | C. Langmo | 2 - 0 | 1.33 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | O. Tarvet | 0 - 2 | 3.83 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | O. Tarvet | 1 - 2 | 3.61 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | P. Makk | 2 - 0 | 1.96 | 51% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao or Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is favourite at 1.56, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao is 2.50 and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is 1.56, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.
What is the head-to-head between Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?
They have met 3 times and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida leads 3-0.
Who will win Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?
Our model makes it Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida to win at 1.57 (Lean confidence).