THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 01 OCTOBERMATCHES 213EVENTS 31LIVE 4ALERTS 103
ChallengerClayCuritiba2026-09-30 15:00

Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao v Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
M. Pucinelli de Almeida to win1.57
Price too short today - wait for 1.60 or bigger · our chance 63% · market 40/60, us 37/63

M. Pucinelli de Almeida is 4-6 over the last ten and 27-11 on clay this season. J. Reis Da Silva is 4-6 over the last ten and 15-19 on clay this season. The head to head is J. Reis Da Silva 0-2.

The pick is M. Pucinelli de Almeida to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.60 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. Reis Da SilvaM. Pucinelli de Almeida
-Ranking260
4-6Last 104-6
WLWWWLast 5WLLLW
-0.0V the odds-0.5
20-24Season33-18
15-19Clay 202627-11
1Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. Reis Da Silva2.5038%
M. Pucinelli de AlmeidaFAV1.5662%
Market says62% Almeida

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Reis Da Silva0
M. Pucinelli de Almeida3
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-30CuritibaJ. Reis Da SilvavM. Pucinelli de Almeida1 - 2
2025-09-24Buenos Aires 3M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavJ. Reis Da Silva2 - 1
2023-05-06CoquimboJ. Reis Da SilvavM. Pucinelli de Almeida1 - 2

This season & this event

J. Reis Da Silva
M. Pucinelli de Almeida
20-25
15-20
Lost R32 to T. Barrios Vera
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
34-18
28-11
Lost R32 to A. Hernandez
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
Brazil
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Brazil
207
26
Brazil
50–32
2
0–2
50–30
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
260
25
Brazil
32–16
1
3–3
29–12
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Reis Da Silva — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30CuritibaClayM. Pucinelli de Almeida1 - 22.5062%LOST
2026-09-29CuritibaClayM. A. Dellien Velasco2 - 01.2875%WON
2026-09-13TullnClayM. Brunold0 - 22.4961%LOST
2026-09-12TullnClayA. Barrena2 - 01.6858%WON
2026-09-10TullnClayT. Monteiro2 - 03.0969%WON
2026-09-08TullnClayA. Molcan0 - 24.9080%WON
2026-08-31ComoClayG. Bueno2 - 02.4060%LOST
2026-07-28BonnClayT. Gentzsch2 - 02.7465%LOST
2026-07-21TampereClayD. Kuzmanov0 - 21.8851%LOST
2026-07-14BunschotenClayH. Barton2 - 12.5462%LOST

M. Pucinelli de Almeida — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30CuritibaClayJ. Reis Da Silva1 - 21.5662%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayP. A. Saraiva Dos Santos2 - 11.1680%WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayH. Dellien1 - 22.1557%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryR. Bertola1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-02MallorcaHardJ. D. Hara Friend0 - 22.0352%LOST
2026-09-01MallorcaHardM. Gengel2 - 01.3670%WON
2026-08-31MallorcaHardC. Langmo2 - 01.3372%WON
2026-08-25Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - QualificationHardO. Tarvet0 - 23.8375%LOST
2026-08-19Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardO. Tarvet1 - 23.6174%LOST
2026-08-18Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardP. Makk2 - 01.9651%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao or Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is favourite at 1.56, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?

Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao is 2.50 and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is 1.56, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?

They have met 3 times and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida leads 3-0.

Who will win Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?

Our model makes it Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida to win at 1.57 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event