THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 01 OCTOBERMATCHES 213EVENTS 31LIVE 4ALERTS 103
ChallengerClayCuritiba2026-09-30 15:00

Bruno Fernandez v Lautaro Midon

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
L. Midon to win 2-01.42
Price too short today - wait for 1.65 or bigger · our chance 61% · market 16/84, us 13/87

L. Midon is 6-4 over the last ten and 23-15 on clay this season. B. Fernandez is 5-5 over the last ten and 20-22 on clay this season. The head to head is B. Fernandez 0-2.

The pick is L. Midon to win 2-0. We make it a 61% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.65 or bigger. At 1.42 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

B. FernandezL. Midon
626Ranking200
5-5Last 106-4
WLWLLLast 5WLLWW
-0.4V the odds+1.3
22-25Season31-21
20-22Clay 202623-15
3Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
2Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

B. Fernandez6.6514%
L. MidonFAV1.1186%
Market says86% Midon

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

B. Fernandez0
L. Midon3
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-30CuritibaB. FernandezvL. Midon0 - 2
2026-03-31Sao LeopoldoL. MidonvB. Fernandez2 - 1
2024-10-30ITF M25 Lajeado MenL. MidonvB. Fernandez2 - 0

This season & this event

B. Fernandez
L. Midon
22-26
20-23
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
32-21
24-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Bruno Fernandez
Brazil
Lautaro Midon
Argentina
626
22
Brazil
14–9
0
—
14–9
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
200
22
Argentina
30–21
0
2–2
28–18
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

B. Fernandez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30CuritibaClayL. Midon0 - 26.6586%LOST
2026-09-29CuritibaClayW. Leite2 - 1——WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayV. H. Remondy Pagotto1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-27CuritibaClayF. Zeballos2 - 11.2971%WON
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Roncadelli0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayT. Farjat0 - 21.3271%LOST
2026-09-20Buenos Aires 3ClayD. Pagani2 - 01.3869%WON
2026-09-11M15 BudapestHardM. Valkusz2 - 03.1870%LOST
2026-09-10M15 BudapestHardT. Gubi0 - 21.1087%WON
2026-09-09M15 BudapestHardF. Thomas0 - 21.3968%WON

L. Midon — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30CuritibaClayB. Fernandez0 - 21.1186%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayM. Soto0 - 21.5562%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardK. Jacquet2 - 05.3382%LOST
2026-08-20Kingston (Jamaica)HardC. Chidekh2 - 03.2170%LOST
2026-08-19Kingston (Jamaica)HardI. Marcondes1 - 1 RET2.1054%WON
2026-08-17Kingston (Jamaica)HardD. Martin1 - 21.1780%WON
2026-07-16BastadClayA. Tabilo2 - 13.9075%LOST
2026-07-14BastadClayF. Diaz Acosta1 - 24.1076%WON
2026-07-13BastadClayI. Marcondes0 - 21.5861%WON
2026-07-12BastadClayW. Rejchtman Vinciguerra0 - 21.0690%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Bruno Fernandez or Lautaro Midon?

Lautaro Midon is favourite at 1.11, which is a 86% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro Midon?

Bruno Fernandez is 6.65 and Lautaro Midon is 1.11, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between Bruno Fernandez and Lautaro Midon?

They have met 3 times and Lautaro Midon leads 3-0.

Who will win Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro Midon?

Our model makes it Lautaro Midon to win 2-0 at 1.42 (Lean confidence).

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