Gustavo Heide v Felipe Meligeni Alves
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONG. Heide is 6-4 over the last ten and 27-12 on clay this season. F. Meligeni Alves is 6-4 over the last ten and 18-9 on clay this season.
The pick is G. Heide to win. We make it a 72% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.40 or bigger. At 1.33 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| G. Heide | F. Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| 123 | Ranking | 465 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWWWL | Last 5 | WLLLL |
| -0.1 | V the odds | +0.1 |
| 34-20 | Season | 23-15 |
| 27-12 | Clay 2026 | 18-9 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Defending title | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | G. HeidevF. Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
G. Heide — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | F. Meligeni Alves | 2 - 0 | 1.34 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | H. Casanova | 2 - 0 | 1.14 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | S. Wawrinka | 2 - 1 | 2.45 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Tulln | Clay | D. Dedura | 0 - 2 | 1.65 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Tulln | Clay | S. Cuenin | 0 - 2 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | Porto 2 | Clay | F. Mena | 1 - 2 | 1.30 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Porto 2 | Clay | T. Pereira | 2 - 0 | 1.22 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Porto 2 | Clay | G. Marques | 2 - 0 | 1.08 | 88% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | 2.00 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | H. Mayot | 2 - 0 | 1.72 | 54% | LOST |
F. Meligeni Alves — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | G. Heide | 2 - 0 | 3.33 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | C. M. Zarate | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | H. Dellien | 2 - 0 | 2.92 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | A. Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | 1.87 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | D. Svrcina | 2 - 0 | 4.25 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Cancun 2 | Hard | M. Kouame | 0 - 2 | 2.07 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Cancun 2 | Hard | D. Blanch | 1 - 2 | 1.61 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Cancun 2 | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 | 2.30 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-08 | M25 Londrina | Clay | P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 0 | 1.18 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-08-07 | M25 Londrina | Clay | M. Zeitune | 1 - 2 | 1.19 | 80% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Gustavo Heide or Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Gustavo Heide is favourite at 1.34, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Gustavo Heide vs Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Gustavo Heide is 1.34 and Felipe Meligeni Alves is 3.33, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.
What is the head-to-head between Gustavo Heide and Felipe Meligeni Alves?
They have met 1 time and Gustavo Heide leads 1-0.
Who will win Gustavo Heide vs Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Our model makes it Gustavo Heide to win at 1.33 (Lean confidence).