Lucas Poullain v Josef Schwaerzler Joel
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTL. Poullain is 6-4 over the last ten and 33-18 on hard this season. J. J. Schwaerzler is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-10 on hard this season.
The pick is L. Poullain to win. We make it a 46% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.17 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Poullain | J. J. Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| 337 | Ranking | 254 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WWLLW | Last 5 | WWLLW |
| +1.2 | V the odds | -1.0 |
| 38-23 | Season | 32-25 |
| 33-18 | Hard 2026 | 16-10 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | L. PoullainvJ. J. Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Poullain — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | J. J. Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | 2.40 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | R. Bertola | 2 - 1 | 2.27 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | M. Lajal | 1 - 2 | 5.15 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Setubal | Hard | D. Morais | 2 - 0 | 1.18 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-09-16 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | C. Chidekh | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | D. Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Cassis | Hard | M. Echargui | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-22 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | O. Tarvet | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | L. Maxted | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | M. Geerts | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
J. J. Schwaerzler — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | S. Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | 2.12 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | L. Poullain | 0 - 2 | 1.61 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | H. Wendelken | 2 - 0 | 2.16 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | A. Barroso Campos | 0 - 2 | 1.21 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | M. Chazal | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | Mallorca | Hard | L. Potenza | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | M. Basing | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Guerrieri | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | G. Heide | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | K. Miyoshi | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Lucas Poullain or Josef Schwaerzler Joel?
Josef Schwaerzler Joel is favourite at 1.61, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Lucas Poullain vs Josef Schwaerzler Joel?
Lucas Poullain is 2.40 and Josef Schwaerzler Joel is 1.61, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.
What is the head-to-head between Lucas Poullain and Josef Schwaerzler Joel?
They have met 1 time and Josef Schwaerzler Joel leads 1-0.
Who will win Lucas Poullain vs Josef Schwaerzler Joel?
Our model makes it Lucas Poullain to win at 2.27 (Solid confidence).