THE TENNIS TRADER
SATURDAY 03 OCTOBERMATCHES 81EVENTS 33ALERTS 41
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Mouilleron-Le-Captif2026-10-02 13:00

Henry Bernet v Felix Balshaw

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
F. Balshaw to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.34 or bigger · our chance 75% · market 53/47, us 50/50

F. Balshaw is 8-2 over the last ten and 15-9 on hard this season. H. Bernet is 8-2 over the last ten and 8-6 on hard this season. H. Bernet has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is F. Balshaw to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 75% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.34 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

H. BernetF. Balshaw
428Ranking252
8-2Last 108-2
WWWWWLast 5WWLWW
+1.7V the odds+2.2
26-20Season44-17
8-6Hard 202615-9
5Last 7 days2
1dDays rest1d
2Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

H. BernetFAV1.8054%
F. Balshaw2.0846%
Market says54% Bernet

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

H. Bernet1
F. Balshaw0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-02Mouilleron-Le-CaptifH. BernetvF. Balshaw2 - 1

This season & this event

H. Bernet
F. Balshaw
28-21
9-7
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
45-18
16-10
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Henry Bernet
Switzerland
Felix Balshaw
France
428
19
Switzerland
20–20
1
1–6
19–14
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
252
20
France
43–16
4
14–8
29–8
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

H. Bernet — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-03Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)C. Chidekh2 - 02.5763%LOST
2026-10-02Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)F. Balshaw2 - 11.8054%WON
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)D. Stricker2 - 02.4060%WON
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)D. Glinka0 - 21.8350%WON
2026-09-26M25 FalunHard (Indoor)S. Banerjee0 - 21.8252%WON
2026-09-25M25 FalunHard (Indoor)A. Petrovic2 - 01.2278%WON
2026-09-25M25 FalunHard (Indoor)K. Friberg0 - 21.2775%WON
2026-09-24M25 FalunHard (Indoor)C. Sigsgaard0 - 21.2476%WON
2026-09-21M25 FalunHard (Indoor)V. Frydrych0 - 2——WON
2026-09-07TullnClayD. Dedura2 - 1——LOST

F. Balshaw — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Bernet2 - 12.0854%LOST
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)N. Budkov Kjaer2 - 12.4361%WON
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)B. Harris1 - 2——WON
2026-09-08CassisHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-06MallorcaHardI. Montes-De La Torre1 - 2——WON
2026-09-05MallorcaHardM. Lajal0 - 2——WON
2026-09-04MallorcaHardB. Harris1 - 2——WON
2026-09-03MallorcaHardA. Muller2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01MallorcaHardA. Holmgren0 - 2——WON
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardA. Kovacevic0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Henry Bernet or Felix Balshaw?

Henry Bernet is favourite at 1.80, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw?

Henry Bernet is 1.80 and Felix Balshaw is 2.08, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.

What is the head-to-head between Henry Bernet and Felix Balshaw?

They have met 1 time and Henry Bernet leads 1-0.

Who will win Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw?

Our model makes it Felix Balshaw to win a set (Lean confidence).

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