THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerHardJinan2026-10-11 07:30

Liam Draxl v Omar Jasika

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
L. Draxl to win 2-01.90
Price too short today - wait for 2.09 or bigger · our chance 48% · market 75/25, us 77/23

L. Draxl is 6-4 over the last ten and 26-18 on hard this season. O. Jasika is 6-4 over the last ten and 45-29 on hard this season. O. Jasika retired from a match in the last month. O. Jasika has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is L. Draxl to win 2-0. We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.09 or bigger. At 1.90 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. DraxlO. Jasika
215Ranking422
6-4Last 106-4
WLWLWLast 5WLWWW
+0.2V the odds+1.2
35-24Season45-29
26-18Hard 202645-29
3Last 7 days5
0dDays rest0d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessretired
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. DraxlFAV1.2775%
O. Jasika3.8825%
Market says75% Draxl

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. Draxl0
O. Jasika1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-12JinanL. DraxlvO. Jasika0 - 0

This season & this event

L. Draxl
O. Jasika
35-24
26-18
Lost R16 to A. Cazaux
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
45-29
45-29
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Liam Draxl
Canada
Omar Jasika
Australia
215
24
Canada
34–23
0
24–16
7–6
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
422
29
Australia
41–28
3
41–28
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Draxl — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11JinanHardY. Du2 - 0——WON
2026-10-11JinanHardO. Jasika0 - 01.2775%LOST
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardN. Basilashvili1 - 22.2457%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardH. Gaston0 - 22.2457%WON
2026-09-23San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardH. Searle2 - 11.6558%LOST
2026-09-21San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardJ. Kennedy0 - 21.2971%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsA. Rinderknech2 - 03.7575%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardT. Schoolkate1 - 21.8053%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardA. Johnson2 - 01.3670%WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardN. Mejia1 - 21.9150%WON

O. Jasika — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11JinanHardP. Bar Biryukov2 - 01.7354%WON
2026-10-11JinanHardL. Draxl0 - 03.8875%LOST
2026-10-10Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardA. Kachmazov2 - 02.6964%LOST
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardT. Derepasko0 - 21.3074%WON
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardM. Sharipov1 - 0 RET4.8280%WON
2026-10-06Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardM. Borisiouk2 - 11.9551%WON
2026-09-30JingshanHardD. Sweeny1 - 22.8666%LOST
2026-09-29JingshanHardH. Moriya2 - 01.6458%WON
2026-09-28JingshanHardC. Ferguson2 - 0——WON
2026-09-22HangzhouHardA. Bolt2 - 0——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Liam Draxl or Omar Jasika?

Liam Draxl is favourite at 1.27, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika?

Liam Draxl is 1.27 and Omar Jasika is 3.88, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.

What is the head-to-head between Liam Draxl and Omar Jasika?

They have met 1 time and Omar Jasika leads 1-0.

Who will win Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika?

Our model makes it Liam Draxl to win 2-0 at 1.90 (Lean confidence).

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