Ilya Ivashka v Beibit Zhukayev
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONI. Ivashka is 8-2 over the last ten and 28-11 on hard this season. B. Zhukayev is 4-6 over the last ten and 10-13 on hard this season. The head to head is I. Ivashka 1-0.
The pick is I. Ivashka to win 2-0. We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.08 or bigger. At 1.80 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| I. Ivashka | B. Zhukayev | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 277 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WWWWW | Last 5 | LLWLL |
| +2.0 | V the odds | -1.1 |
| 30-13 | Season | 12-14 |
| 28-11 | Hard 2026 | 10-13 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 28d | Days rest | 6d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| 28d out | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Jinan | I. IvashkavB. Zhukayev | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-08-02 | ATP Los Cabos | B. ZhukayevvI. Ivashka | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
I. Ivashka — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | K. Uchida | 2 - 0 | 1.10 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Jinan | Hard | B. Zhukayev | 2 - 0 | 1.32 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Sharipov | 2 - 1 | 1.82 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Castelnuovo | 0 - 2 | 1.24 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Zhou | 2 - 0 | 1.78 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Tomic | 1 - 2 | 1.67 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. H. Hsu | 2 - 0 | 1.93 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-09-04 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | I. Simakin | 2 - 0 | 2.04 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | A. Santillan | 1 - 2 | 1.32 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | Y. Zhou | 2 - 1 | 1.82 | 52% | WON |
B. Zhukayev — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Jinan | Hard | I. Ivashka | 2 - 0 | 3.41 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | Y. Demin | 0 - 2 | 1.78 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-08-12 | Astana | Hard | M. Alkaya | 0 - 2 | 2.37 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Astana | Hard | A. Omarkhanov | 0 - 2 | 1.79 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-04-26 | Jiujiang (China) - Qualification | Hard | Y. Takahashi | 1 - 2 | 1.29 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-04-21 | Gwangju | Hard | L. Broady | 2 - 0 | 2.85 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-04-20 | Gwangju | Hard | H. Moriya | 2 - 0 | 1.41 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-04-19 | Gwangju | Hard | M. Imamura | 2 - 0 | 1.40 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-04-16 | Busan | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 2 - 1 | 3.05 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-04-14 | Busan | Hard | U. Park | 1 - 2 | 1.38 | 70% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Ilya Ivashka or Beibit Zhukayev?
Ilya Ivashka is favourite at 1.32, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Ilya Ivashka vs Beibit Zhukayev?
Ilya Ivashka is 1.32 and Beibit Zhukayev is 3.41, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.
What is the head-to-head between Ilya Ivashka and Beibit Zhukayev?
They have met 2 times and Ilya Ivashka leads 2-0.
Who will win Ilya Ivashka vs Beibit Zhukayev?
Our model makes it Ilya Ivashka to win 2-0 at 1.80 (Lean confidence).