THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerHardOlbia2026-10-11 14:30

Laurent Lokoli v Marco Dessi

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
L. Lokoli to win1.02
Price too short today - wait for 1.06 or bigger · our chance 95% · market 95/5, us 95/5

L. Lokoli is 7-3 over the last ten and 13-7 on hard this season. M. Dessi is 0-2 over the last ten. L. Lokoli took a medical timeout on 2026-10-09. The head to head is L. Lokoli 1-0.

The pick is L. Lokoli to win. We make it a 95% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.06 or bigger. At 1.02 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. LokoliM. Dessi
348Ranking-
7-3Last 100-2
LWWLWLast 5LL
+0.1V the odds-0.2
42-23Season0-2
13-7Hard 20260-0
3Last 7 days0
2dDays rest19d
0Wins here0
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. LokoliFAV1.0295%
M. Dessi19.425%
Market says95% Lokoli

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. Lokoli2
M. Dessi0
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11OlbiaL. LokolivM. Dessi2 - 0
2026-09-22M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8M. DessivL. Lokoli0 - 2

This season & this event

L. Lokoli
M. Dessi
43-24
14-8
Did not play
Lost R16 to M. Gigante
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
0-3
0-1
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Laurent Lokoli
France
Marco Dessi
Italy
348
31
France
40–22
3
13–7
27–15
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
—
56
Italy
0–2
0
—
0–2
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Lokoli — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12OlbiaHardG. Loffhagen1 - 22.7465%LOST
2026-10-11OlbiaHardM. Dessi2 - 01.0295%WON
2026-10-09M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9ClayI. Ivanov0 - 21.6558%LOST
2026-10-08M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9ClayG. Pennaforti2 - 01.1980%WON
2026-10-06M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9ClayM. Sciahbasi2 - 01.2275%WON
2026-10-01Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayS. Pieri0 - 21.5960%LOST
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayP. Martin Tiffon1 - 22.4160%WON
2026-09-26M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8ClayD. Michalski2 - 02.2958%LOST
2026-09-25M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8ClayA. de Marchi0 - 0 RET1.3769%WON
2026-09-25M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8ClayD. Rapagnetta0 - 21.3966%WON

M. Dessi — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11OlbiaHardL. Lokoli2 - 019.4295%LOST
2026-09-22M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8ClayL. Lokoli0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-15M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7ClayL. Comino2 - 04.7581%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Laurent Lokoli or Marco Dessi?

Laurent Lokoli is favourite at 1.02, which is a 95% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Laurent Lokoli vs Marco Dessi?

Laurent Lokoli is 1.02 and Marco Dessi is 19.42, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.

What is the head-to-head between Laurent Lokoli and Marco Dessi?

They have met 2 times and Laurent Lokoli leads 2-0.

Who will win Laurent Lokoli vs Marco Dessi?

Our model makes it Laurent Lokoli to win at 1.02 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event