Matyas Cerny v Vadym Ursu
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidVOIDM. Cerny is 6-4 over the last ten and 1-4 on hard this season. V. Ursu is 2-8 over the last ten and 24-20 on hard this season. V. Ursu took a medical timeout on 2026-10-04.
The pick is M. Cerny to win. We make it a 37% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.69 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Cerny | V. Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| 699 | Ranking | 408 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 2-8 |
| LWLWW | Last 5 | LLLLW |
| -0.2 | V the odds | -2.1 |
| 23-18 | Season | 25-24 |
| 1-4 | Hard 2026 | 24-20 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 6d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Cerny — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | Hard | D. Kuzmanov | 2 - 0 | 4.92 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-10-11 | Olbia | Hard | V. Ursu | 1 - 1 RET | 3.00 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | D. Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | 1.50 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Andaloro | 0 - 2 | 1.74 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | M25 Pardubice | Clay | S. Baum | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Pardubice | Clay | D. Petrofsky | 0 - 2 | 1.01 | 93% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | M25 Pardubice | Clay | F. J. Planinsek | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Szczecin | Clay | J. Nikles | 2 - 0 | 2.45 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-13 | Szczecin | Clay | F. Misolic | 2 - 1 | 4.41 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-08-28 | M25 Poznan | Clay | D. Michalski | 2 - 0 | 4.31 | 78% | LOST |
V. Ursu — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Olbia | Hard | M. Cerny | 1 - 1 RET | 1.36 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | Clay | D. Dedura | 2 - 1 | 3.74 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | J. Domingues | 2 - 0 | 1.58 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | St. Tropez | Hard | B. Gojo | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | H. Grenier | 2 - 0 | 3.50 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Tropez | Hard | G. A. Boitan | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Istanbul | Clay | D. Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | 3.30 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Istanbul | Clay | A. Holmgren | 0 - 2 | 4.05 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | M15 Hurghada 6 (Egypt) | Hard | D. Javia | 1 - 2 | 1.19 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Astana | Hard | M. Dhamne | 0 - 2 | 2.40 | 61% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Matyas Cerny or Vadym Ursu?
Vadym Ursu is favourite at 1.36, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Matyas Cerny vs Vadym Ursu?
Matyas Cerny is 3.00 and Vadym Ursu is 1.36, the prices we recorded for the Olbia match.
Who will win Matyas Cerny vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model makes it Matyas Cerny to win at 3.00 (Solid confidence).