Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo v Nicolas Villalon
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONJ. Aguilar Cardozo is 9-1 over the last ten and 40-10 on clay this season. N. Villalon is 4-6 over the last ten and 13-17 on clay this season. The head to head is J. Aguilar Cardozo 1-0.
The pick is J. Aguilar Cardozo to win. We make it a 92% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.10 or bigger. At 1.06 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | N. Villalon | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 673 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| +0.7 | V the odds | - |
| 43-12 | Season | 19-20 |
| 40-10 | Clay 2026 | 13-17 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 1d | Days rest | 34d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 34d out |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Antofagasta | J. Aguilar CardozovN. Villalon | 2 - 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | M15 Santiago 5 | N. VillalonvJ. Aguilar Cardozo | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Aguilar Cardozo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Antofagasta | Clay | N. Villalon | 2 - 0 | 1.06 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 2 - 1 | 1.15 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | Clay | S. De La Fuente | 2 - 1 | 1.03 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | A. Barrena | 0 - 2 | 1.51 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | 1.64 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Comesana | 1 - 2 | 3.25 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | C. M. Zarate | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | M. Del Pino | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | M. Molder | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
N. Villalon — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 0 | 9.94 | 90% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | M15 Trelew (Argentina) | Hard | F. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | M15 Trelew (Argentina), Hard | — | R. Valente | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) | Clay | J. Cundom | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | M15 Asuncion 2 (Paraguay) | Clay | N. Bruna | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-12 | M15 Asuncion | Clay | M. Exsted | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | M15 Asuncion | Clay | B. Perez | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-30 | M15 Sao Paulo | Clay | E. Camargo Lima | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-29 | M15 Sao Paulo | Clay | T. J. Leston | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-05 | Bogota | Hard | B. Perez | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo or Nicolas Villalon?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is favourite at 1.06, which is a 90% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Nicolas Villalon?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is 1.06 and Nicolas Villalon is 9.94, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.
What is the head-to-head between Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Nicolas Villalon?
They have met 2 times and Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo leads 2-0.
Who will win Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Nicolas Villalon?
Our model makes it Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to win at 1.06 (Lean confidence).