THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 07 OCTOBERMATCHES 343EVENTS 34LIVE 3ALERTS 171
ChallengerClayAntofagasta2026-10-06 15:00

Bernardo Munk Mesa v Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
B. Munk Mesa to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.90 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 18/82, us 23/77

B. Munk Mesa is 5-5 over the last ten and 6-7 on clay this season. J. Reis Da Silva is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-20 on clay this season.

The pick is B. Munk Mesa to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.90 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

B. Munk MesaJ. Reis Da Silva
1385Ranking-
5-5Last 105-5
WWLLLLast 5LWLWW
+1.2V the odds-0.1
11-14Season21-25
6-7Clay 202616-20
2Last 7 days2
1dDays rest6d
2Wins here0
ClearFitnessDefending semi
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

B. Munk Mesa5.2018%
J. Reis Da SilvaFAV1.1782%
Market says82% Silva

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

B. Munk Mesa0
J. Reis Da Silva1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-06AntofagastaB. Munk MesavJ. Reis Da Silva0 - 2

This season & this event

B. Munk Mesa
J. Reis Da Silva
Defending semi
11-15
6-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
23-25
18-20
Lost SF to F. Diaz Acosta
Lost R32 to F. Roncadelli

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Bernardo Munk Mesa
Spain
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
Brazil
1385
20
Spain
3–2
0
3–2
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
230
26
Brazil
21–25
0
0–1
21–22
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

B. Munk Mesa — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06AntofagastaClayJ. Reis Da Silva0 - 25.2082%LOST
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayH. Casanova1 - 22.7065%WON
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayB. Fernandez2 - 02.3560%WON
2026-09-22M25 Sabadell 2ClayO. J. Gutierrez2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-08M25 GijonClayM. Arce Fernandez2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-04M15 MadridClay (Indoor)R. Nijboer2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-03M15 MadridClay (Indoor)J. I. Gallego1 - 2——WON
2026-09-01M15 MadridClay (Indoor)C. Cordoba1 - 1 RET——WON
2026-08-26M25 OviedoClayP. Vives Marcos2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-24M25 OviedoClayM. De Krom2 - 0——WON

J. Reis Da Silva — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07AntofagastaClayG. I. Justo1 - 0 RET1.7954%WON
2026-10-06AntofagastaClayB. Munk Mesa0 - 21.1782%WON
2026-09-30CuritibaClayM. Pucinelli de Almeida1 - 22.3561%LOST
2026-09-29CuritibaClayM. A. Dellien Velasco2 - 01.2875%WON
2026-09-13TullnClayM. Brunold0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-12TullnClayA. Barrena2 - 0——WON
2026-09-11TullnClayL. Neumayer2 - 0——WON
2026-09-10TullnClayT. Monteiro2 - 0——WON
2026-09-08TullnClayA. Molcan0 - 2——WON
2026-08-31ComoClayG. Bueno2 - 0——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Bernardo Munk Mesa or Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao?

Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao is favourite at 1.17, which is a 82% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao?

Bernardo Munk Mesa is 5.20 and Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao is 1.17, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

What is the head-to-head between Bernardo Munk Mesa and Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao?

They have met 1 time and Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao leads 1-0.

Who will win Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao?

Our model makes it Bernardo Munk Mesa to win a set (Solid confidence).

Also at this event