THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
WTAHardBeijing2026-10-04 05:00

Jelena Ostapenko v Elise Mertens

The market

J. Ostapenko2.5838%
E. MertensFAV1.5762%
Market says62% Mertens

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

J. Ostapenko
E. Mertens
23-20
13-15
Lost R64 to P. Hon
Reached R64
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
32-19
21-13
Lost R64 to M. Kessler
Lost R32 to C. Bucsa

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Jelena Ostapenko
Latvia
Elise Mertens
Belgium
32
29
Latvia
21–18
0
9–11
7–5
5–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
22
30
Belgium
14–8
0
11–6
2–2
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Ostapenko — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04BeijingHardE. Mertens1 - 22.5862%LOST
2026-10-02BeijingHardP. Badosa2 - 02.3059%WON
2026-09-24SeoulHardT. Preston0 - 21.3771%LOST
2026-09-21SeoulHardA. Zakharova2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardT. Maria2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardM. Frech0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-04TorontoHardS. Zhang1 - 0 RET——LOST
2026-07-03WimbledonGrassA. Sabalenka2 - 0——LOST
2026-07-01WimbledonGrassA. Ruzic2 - 0——WON
2026-06-29WimbledonGrassH. Dart2 - 1——WON

E. Mertens — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04BeijingHardJ. Ostapenko1 - 21.5762%WON
2026-10-02BeijingHardK. Volynets1 - 21.8553%WON
2026-09-25SingaporeHard (Indoor)M. Chwalinska0 - 21.4767%LOST
2026-09-04US OpenHardN. Osaka2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardM. Timofeeva0 - 2——WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardK. Quevedo0 - 2——WON
2026-08-30MonterreyHardD. Parry2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-29MonterreyHardN. Bartunkova1 - 2——WON
2026-08-28MonterreyHardY. Starodubtseva0 - 2——WON
2026-08-27MonterreyHardP. Udvardy1 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jelena Ostapenko or Elise Mertens?

Elise Mertens is favourite at 1.57, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jelena Ostapenko vs Elise Mertens?

Jelena Ostapenko is 2.58 and Elise Mertens is 1.57, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.

Also at this event