Hubert Hurkacz v Karen Khachanov
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTK. Khachanov is 7-3 over the last ten and 16-12 on hard this season. H. Hurkacz is 8-2 over the last ten and 20-12 on hard this season. H. Hurkacz has played 5 matches in seven days.
The pick is K. Khachanov to win. We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.66 or bigger. At 1.59 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Hurkacz | K. Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Ranking | 50 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| +1.4 | V the odds | +0.8 |
| 32-21 | Season | 25-21 |
| 20-12 | Hard 2026 | 16-12 |
| 5 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | H. HurkaczvK. Khachanov | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Hurkacz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Beijing | Hard | A. De Minaur | 1 - 0 RET | 2.20 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | 2.16 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | A. Gea | 2 - 1 | 1.69 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | L. Tien | 1 - 2 | 2.37 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Harris | 0 - 2 | 1.55 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | M. Damm | 1 - 2 | 1.40 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | 1.20 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
K. Khachanov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | 1.59 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | A. Molcan | 0 - 2 | 1.23 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 0 | 2.34 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | US Open | Hard | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open | Hard | A. Blockx | 2 - 0 RET | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | L. Tien | 3 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open | Hard | B. Bonzi | 3 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 1 - 3 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | R. A. Burruchaga | 0 - 3 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hubert Hurkacz or Karen Khachanov?
Karen Khachanov is favourite at 1.59, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov?
Hubert Hurkacz is 2.16 and Karen Khachanov is 1.59, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.
What is the head-to-head between Hubert Hurkacz and Karen Khachanov?
They have met 1 time and Hubert Hurkacz leads 1-0.
Who will win Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov?
Our model makes it Karen Khachanov to win at 1.59 (Lean confidence).