Jay Clarke v Gianluca Cadenasso
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanJ. Clarke is 5-5 over the last ten. G. Cadenasso is 7-3 over the last ten. The head to head is J. Clarke 1-0.
The pick is J. Clarke to win. We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.08 or bigger. At 1.84 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Clarke | G. Cadenasso | |
|---|---|---|
| 240 | Ranking | 183 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WLLLW | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| -0.5 | V the odds | +0.6 |
| 27-30 | Season | 24-19 |
| - | Surface | - |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 3d | Days rest | 3d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-08 | M25 Hammamet 2 | J. ClarkevG. Cadenasso | 3-6 6-4 6-2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Clarke — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Taranto (Italy) | — | F. Bondioli | 1.58 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 ClarkeBondioliPoints won56%44%Serve points won68%54%Return points won46%32%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved4 of 47 of 10Aces12Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-10-20 | Florence (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | D. Sakellaridis | 1.26 | 77% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 6-4 2-6 ClarkeSakellaridisPoints won46%54%Serve points won47%54%Return points won46%53%Games held7 of 159 of 15Break points saved7 of 155 of 11Aces24Double faults62 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | G. Piraino | 1.52 | 63% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 1-6 ClarkePirainoPoints won41%59%Serve points won40%58%Return points won42%60%Games held2 of 86 of 8Break points saved8 of 144 of 6Aces20Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | J. C. Martin Manzano | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 ClarkeManzanoPoints won47%53%Serve points won53%59%Return points won41%47%Games held5 of 107 of 10Break points saved8 of 137 of 10Aces20Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Andaloro | 1.21 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 ClarkeAndaloroPoints won59%41%Serve points won68%47%Return points won53%32%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved0 of 011 of 16Aces34Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. A. Caniato | RET | — | — | LOST |
Games in each set0-6 0-2 ClarkeCaniatoPoints won22%78%Serve points won21%76%Return points won24%79%Games held0 of 44 of 4Break points saved1 of 50 of 0Aces01Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-09-24 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | G. La Vela | 1.16 | 80% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-2 ClarkeVelaPoints won61%39%Serve points won66%45%Return points won55%34%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved2 of 22 of 6Aces30Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-09-22 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | J. Sperle | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-3 ClarkeSperlePoints won55%45%Serve points won63%53%Return points won47%37%Games held9 of 116 of 10Break points saved1 of 32 of 6Aces11Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | Biella | Clay | A. Moro Canas | 2.22 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-4 2-6 ClarkeCanasPoints won47%53%Serve points won57%63%Return points won37%43%Games held8 of 1410 of 13Break points saved8 of 1410 of 13Aces23Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-09-18 | Biella | Clay | F. Gill | 1.97 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-1 6-3 ClarkeGillPoints won56%44%Serve points won73%58%Return points won42%27%Games held13 of 149 of 14Break points saved1 of 28 of 13Aces25Double faults17 | |||||||
G. Cadenasso — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Taranto (Italy) | — | F. Bax | 1.59 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-2 CadenassoBaxPoints won55%45%Serve points won74%66%Return points won34%26%Games held10 of 107 of 10Break points saved2 of 21 of 4Aces13Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Florence (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | S. Kopp | 1.49 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 1-6 CadenassoKoppPoints won44%56%Serve points won50%61%Return points won39%50%Games held4 of 97 of 10Break points saved8 of 136 of 9Aces10Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | R. M. Papoe | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-4 CadenassoPapoePoints won50%50%Serve points won61%62%Return points won38%39%Games held11 of 1411 of 15Break points saved9 of 125 of 9Aces01Double faults60 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Giunta | 1.72 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 CadenassoGiuntaPoints won57%43%Serve points won65%52%Return points won48%35%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved2 of 31 of 5Aces33Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Moeller | 2.04 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 4-6 7-6 CadenassoMoellerPoints won51%49%Serve points won62%59%Return points won41%38%Games held13 of 1713 of 17Break points saved5 of 910 of 14Aces22Double faults27 | |||||||
| 2026-10-15 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | S. Gulin | 1.57 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-4 CadenassoGulinPoints won55%45%Serve points won62%52%Return points won48%38%Games held8 of 116 of 11Break points saved3 of 64 of 9Aces10Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-10-13 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | K. Wehnelt | 1.36 | 70% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-3 6-4 CadenassoWehneltPoints won51%49%Serve points won65%64%Return points won36%35%Games held14 of 1611 of 15Break points saved0 of 23 of 7Aces26Double faults58 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Giunta | 1.54 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 5-7 CadenassoGiuntaPoints won48%52%Serve points won66%68%Return points won32%34%Games held9 of 1210 of 12Break points saved1 of 45 of 7Aces75Double faults41 | |||||||
| 2026-10-06 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Moroni | 1.29 | 74% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-4 6-3 CadenassoMoroniPoints won53%47%Serve points won59%53%Return points won47%41%Games held10 of 149 of 14Break points saved6 of 1010 of 15Aces51Double faults51 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | V. Sachko | RET | 2.29 | 58% | LOST |
Games in each set6-4 2-6 0-3 CadenassoSachkoPoints won46%54%Serve points won55%64%Return points won36%45%Games held7 of 119 of 10Break points saved2 of 67 of 8Aces13Double faults26 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Jay Clarke or Gianluca Cadenasso?
Jay Clarke is favourite at 1.84, which is a 50% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Jay Clarke vs Gianluca Cadenasso?
Jay Clarke is 1.84 and Gianluca Cadenasso is 1.84, the prices we recorded for the Taranto (Italy) match.
What is the head-to-head between Jay Clarke and Gianluca Cadenasso?
They have met 1 time and Jay Clarke leads 1-0.
Who will win Jay Clarke vs Gianluca Cadenasso?
Our model makes it Jay Clarke to win at 1.84 (Lean confidence).