ITFClayM15 San Gregorio di Catania2026-11-04 11:30

Jacopo Berrettini v Raffaele Ciurnelli

The market

J. BerrettiniFAV1.7854%

R. Ciurnelli2.0646%

Market says54% Berrettini

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

J. BerrettiniWLLLL

R. CiurnelliLLLLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

J. Berrettini

R. Ciurnelli

2-8

1-1

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on clay

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

5-10

4-6

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Jacopo Berrettini

Italy

Raffaele Ciurnelli

Italy

298

Italy

41–23

8–7

33–16

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2025 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

—

Italy

2–2

1–1

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Berrettini — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-04	M15 San Gregorio di Catania	Clay	R. Ciurnelli	1.78	54%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-3 7-5 BerrettiniCiurnelliPoints won52%48%Serve points won56%52%Return points won48%44%Games held8 of 148 of 15Break points saved6 of 128 of 15
2026-04-02	Barletta	Clay	M. Ribecai	2.39	60%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 2-6 BerrettiniRibecaiPoints won36%64%Serve points won46%72%Return points won28%54%Games held3 of 78 of 8Aces21Double faults20
2026-03-23	Split	Hard (Indoor)	S. Gueymard Wayenburg	1.99	51%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 0-6 BerrettiniWayenburgPoints won33%67%Serve points won26%63%Return points won37%74%Games held0 of 66 of 7Aces14Double faults41
2026-03-10	Hersonissos 2	Hard	T. Gentzsch	2.55	62%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 4-6 2-6 BerrettiniGentzschPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%60%Return points won40%37%Games held9 of 1310 of 13Aces03Double faults75
2026-03-02	Hersonissos	Hard	A. Rybakov	1.79	54%	LOST
Games in each set6-1 4-6 4-6 BerrettiniRybakovPoints won52%48%Serve points won57%52%Return points won48%43%Games held8 of 138 of 14Break points saved0 of 56 of 12Aces31Double faults87
2026-02-24	Saint Brieuc	Hard (Indoor)	M. Lajal	4.94	80%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 BerrettiniLajalPoints won38%62%Serve points won49%80%Return points won20%51%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved5 of 90 of 0Aces75Double faults40
2026-02-11	Tenerife 2	Hard	P. Llamas Ruiz	3.69	74%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 BerrettiniRuizPoints won41%59%Serve points won53%71%Return points won29%47%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved2 of 62 of 2Aces12Double faults31
2026-02-09	Tenerife 2	Hard	J. Vasami	2.25	57%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 BerrettiniVasamiPoints won58%42%Serve points won75%56%Return points won44%25%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved3 of 39 of 12Aces25Double faults22
2026-02-02	Tenerife	Hard	A. Shelbayh	2.22	56%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 BerrettiniShelbayhPoints won39%61%Serve points won44%67%Return points won33%56%Games held3 of 87 of 9Break points saved2 of 70 of 2Aces02Double faults42
2026-01-25	Oeiras 2	Hard (Indoor)	M. Vrbensky	1.61	60%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 6-7 2-6 BerrettiniVrbenskyPoints won49%51%Serve points won64%68%Return points won32%36%Games held12 of 1412 of 14Break points saved8 of 101 of 3Aces65Double faults66

R. Ciurnelli — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-04	M15 San Gregorio di Catania	Clay	J. Berrettini		2.06	54%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 3-6 5-7 CiurnelliBerrettiniPoints won48%52%Serve points won52%56%Return points won44%48%Games held8 of 158 of 14Break points saved8 of 156 of 12
2026-10-27	M15 Selva Gardena	Hard	L. Bocchi		2.15	56%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 3-6 CiurnelliBocchiPoints won44%56%Serve points won62%79%Return points won21%38%Games held7 of 109 of 9Break points saved4 of 71 of 1
2026-10-20	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11	Clay	L. Angelini		2.33	59%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-3 3-6 CiurnelliAngeliniPoints won46%54%Serve points won60%67%Return points won33%40%Games held8 of 1211 of 13Break points saved5 of 93 of 5
2026-09-06	US Open	Hard	J. Lee		—	—	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 CiurnelliLeePoints won40%60%Serve points won49%68%Return points won32%51%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved2 of 64 of 4
2026-07-24	M15 Segrate	Clay	J. C. Martin Manzano	RET	—	—	LOST
Games in each set2-5
2026-07-22	M15 Segrate	Clay	L. Beraldo		2.20	57%	WON
Games in each set6-0 7-6
2026-07-20	M15 Segrate	Clay	N. Ciavarella		1.79	53%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-0 6-3
2026-07-05	Wimbledon	Grass	D. Kisimov		—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7
2026-06-16	M25 Milano (Italy)	Clay	G. Tabacco		4.21	77%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 6-7 1-6
2026-06-02	French Open	Clay	M. Domenc		—	—	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jacopo Berrettini or Raffaele Ciurnelli?

Jacopo Berrettini is favourite at 1.78, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jacopo Berrettini vs Raffaele Ciurnelli?

Jacopo Berrettini is 1.78 and Raffaele Ciurnelli is 2.06, the prices we recorded for the M15 San Gregorio di Catania match.

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