ITFClayM15 San Gregorio di Catania2026-11-04 10:00

Andrea de Marchi v Leonardo Primucci

The market

A. de MarchiFAV1.2080%

L. Primucci4.7120%

Market says80% Marchi

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. de MarchiWLWWL

L. PrimucciLLLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

A. de Marchi

L. Primucci

34-21

30-16

Lost R32 to F. Tabacco

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on clay

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

9-19

9-16

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Andrea de Marchi

Italy

Leonardo Primucci

Italy

1030

Italy

4–8

4–5

0–3

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

1183

Italy

0–1

—

0–1

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. de Marchi — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-04	M15 San Gregorio di Catania	Clay	L. Primucci		1.20	80%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 MarchiPrimucciPoints won60%40%Serve points won67%46%Return points won54%33%Games held7 of 94 of 9Break points saved1 of 34 of 8
2026-10-22	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11	Clay	L. C. Alvarez Valdes		—	—	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 MarchiValdesPoints won41%59%Serve points won45%63%Return points won37%55%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved1 of 64 of 5
2026-10-22	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11	Clay	B. Djuric		3.24	71%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 MarchiDjuricPoints won56%44%Serve points won66%53%Return points won47%34%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved4 of 53 of 7
2026-10-20	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11	Clay	S. Macchione		1.03	94%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-2 MarchiMacchionePoints won65%35%Serve points won63%33%Return points won67%37%Games held6 of 81 of 7Break points saved3 of 54 of 10
2026-10-04	Palermo (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	F. Arnaboldi		2.38	61%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 1-6 3-6 MarchiArnaboldiPoints won45%55%Serve points won49%59%Return points won41%51%Games held6 of 139 of 13Break points saved1 of 86 of 10Aces06Double faults34
2026-09-25	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8	Clay	L. Lokoli	RET	3.12	69%	LOST
Games in each set1-2 MarchiLokoliPoints won36%64%Serve points won80%89%Return points won11%20%Games held1 of 12 of 2
2026-09-24	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8	Clay	G. Crivellaro		1.57	61%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-1 6-1 MarchiCrivellaroPoints won61%39%Serve points won66%44%Return points won56%34%Games held10 of 136 of 14Break points saved2 of 54 of 11
2026-09-21	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8	Clay	S. Cocola		1.32	72%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-4 6-0 MarchiCocolaPoints won56%44%Serve points won56%43%Return points won57%44%Games held8 of 135 of 13Break points saved4 of 95 of 13
2026-09-18	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7	Clay	A. Chepelev		—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-2 5-7 1-6 MarchiChepelevPoints won48%52%Serve points won53%58%Return points won42%47%Games held7 of 139 of 14Break points saved4 of 102 of 7
2026-09-17	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7	Clay	G. Johns		2.38	61%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 MarchiJohnsPoints won53%47%Serve points won60%53%Return points won47%40%Games held8 of 116 of 11Break points saved6 of 94 of 9

L. Primucci — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-04	M15 San Gregorio di Catania	Clay	A. de Marchi	4.71	80%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 PrimucciMarchiPoints won40%60%Serve points won46%67%Return points won33%54%Games held4 of 97 of 9Break points saved4 of 81 of 3
2026-10-07	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9	Clay	A. Bellifemine	1.90	50%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-1 3-6 PrimucciBellifeminePoints won49%51%Serve points won50%53%Return points won47%50%Games held6 of 127 of 13Break points saved5 of 112 of 8
2026-09-22	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8	Clay	P. Marino	—	—	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 PrimucciMarinoPoints won42%58%Serve points won53%70%Return points won30%47%Games held7 of 119 of 11Break points saved2 of 61 of 3
2026-09-04	M15 Bologna	Clay	G. Crivellaro	2.66	66%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 0-6 PrimucciCrivellaroPoints won43%57%Serve points won49%64%Return points won36%51%Games held7 of 1411 of 14Break points saved8 of 141 of 4
2026-09-03	M15 Bologna	Clay	M. Mecarelli	3.44	73%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-4 7-5 PrimucciMecarelliPoints won47%53%Serve points won57%67%Return points won33%43%Games held6 of 85 of 7Break points saved4 of 60 of 1
2026-09-02	M15 Bologna	Clay	D. Ciaschetti	1.31	73%	WON
Games in each set6-2 5-7 6-4 PrimucciCiaschettiPoints won51%49%Serve points won61%57%Return points won43%39%Games held8 of 117 of 12Break points saved3 of 53 of 5
2026-08-07	M25 Fano (Italy)	Clay	C. E. Overbeck	—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6
2026-08-06	M25 Fano (Italy)	Clay	N. Catini	2.65	64%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4
2026-08-05	M25 Fano (Italy)	Clay	F. Arnaboldi	11.06	91%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4
2026-08-04	M25 Fano (Italy)	Clay	A. Bronzetti	2.14	55%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-6

Common questions

Who is favourite, Andrea de Marchi or Leonardo Primucci?

Andrea de Marchi is favourite at 1.20, which is a 80% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Andrea de Marchi vs Leonardo Primucci?

Andrea de Marchi is 1.20 and Leonardo Primucci is 4.71, the prices we recorded for the M15 San Gregorio di Catania match.

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