THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-05 12:30

Hynek Barton v Petr Nesterov

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
H. Barton to win1.61
Worth backing at 1.51 or bigger · our chance 67% · market 60/40, us 67/33

H. Barton is 5-5 over the last ten and 24-18 on clay this season. P. Nesterov is 5-5 over the last ten and 32-15 on clay this season.

The pick is H. Barton to win. We make it a 67% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.51 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

H. BartonP. Nesterov
-Ranking428
5-5Last 105-5
WLWLLLast 5WLWWL
+0.1V the odds-0.6
41-26Season51-22
24-18Clay 202632-15
1Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

H. BartonFAV1.6160%
P. Nesterov2.3840%
Market says60% Barton

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

H. Barton0
P. Nesterov1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05VillenaH. BartonvP. Nesterov1 - 2

This season & this event

H. Barton
P. Nesterov
41-27
24-19
Lost R32 to H. Grenier
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
53-22
34-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Hynek Barton
Czech Republic
Petr Nesterov
Bulgaria
304
22
Czech Republic
48–28
0
18–11
30–17
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
428
23
Bulgaria
22–8
1
20–8
2–0
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

H. Barton — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayP. Nesterov1 - 21.6160%LOST
2026-10-04VillenaClayS. Latinovic2 - 01.0888%WON
2026-09-17SzczecinClayZ. Kolar0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-15SzczecinClayR. Brancaccio2 - 1——WON
2026-09-08TullnClayN. Hipfl2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-27AugsburgClayB. Sanchez Martinez2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-26AugsburgClayJ. M. La Serna1 - 2——WON
2026-08-24AugsburgClayC. Hemery0 - 2——WON
2026-08-18PragueClayC. H. Tseng2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-10HamburgClayF. Lechno-Wasiutynski1 - 2——LOST

P. Nesterov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06VillenaClayC. Hernandez0 - 21.2180%WON
2026-10-05VillenaClayH. Barton1 - 22.3860%WON
2026-10-04VillenaClayC. Chen1 - 21.0789%WON
2026-09-29PortoClayG. Marques2 - 11.4666%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayM. Topo2 - 0——WON
2026-09-27PortoClayG. Tabacco2 - 1——WON
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayC. Taberner2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-01Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayY. Milev1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-12M25 MuttenzClayD. Sakellaridis2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-09Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayG. Piraino2 - 0——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Hynek Barton or Petr Nesterov?

Hynek Barton is favourite at 1.61, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Hynek Barton vs Petr Nesterov?

Hynek Barton is 1.61 and Petr Nesterov is 2.38, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Hynek Barton and Petr Nesterov?

They have met 1 time and Petr Nesterov leads 1-0.

Who will win Hynek Barton vs Petr Nesterov?

Our model makes it Hynek Barton to win at 1.61 (Solid confidence).

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