Hiroki Moriya v Keisuke Saitoh
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONK. Saitoh is 9-1 over the last ten and 36-18 on hard this season. H. Moriya is 6-4 over the last ten and 31-27 on hard this season.
The pick is K. Saitoh to win. We make it a 54% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.85 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Moriya | K. Saitoh | |
|---|---|---|
| 505 | Ranking | 550 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 9-1 |
| WLWLL | Last 5 | WWWLW |
| +0.3 | V the odds | +0.8 |
| 32-28 | Season | 36-18 |
| 31-27 | Hard 2026 | 36-18 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 3 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | H. MoriyavK. Saitoh | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Moriya — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | K. Saitoh | 0 - 2 | 1.95 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | K. Smith | 1 - 2 | 3.14 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | O. Jasika | 2 - 0 | 2.29 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | J. Huang | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | B. Ellis | 2 - 1 | 1.73 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | Y. Shimizu | 1 - 2 | 3.55 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | M. Jones | 0 - 2 | 2.13 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | D. Palan | 2 - 1 | 1.49 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | K. Samrej | 2 - 0 | 1.76 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | P. Dev S D | 2 - 0 | 1.35 | 70% | WON |
K. Saitoh — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | H. Moriya | 0 - 2 | 1.88 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | D. Palan | 2 - 0 | 1.60 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | Y. Takahashi | 2 - 1 | 1.59 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | Z. Wang | 2 - 0 | 1.03 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | M. Bellucci | 2 - 0 | 7.80 | 88% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | K. Matsuda | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | M25 Sapporo | Hard | J. Roddick | 1 - 2 | 1.56 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | M25 Sapporo | Hard | S. C. Hong | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | M25 Sapporo | Hard | K. Lee | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | M25 Sapporo | Hard | Y. Tanaka | 0 - 2 | 1.28 | 75% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hiroki Moriya or Keisuke Saitoh?
Keisuke Saitoh is favourite at 1.88, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hiroki Moriya vs Keisuke Saitoh?
Hiroki Moriya is 1.95 and Keisuke Saitoh is 1.88, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.
What is the head-to-head between Hiroki Moriya and Keisuke Saitoh?
They have met 1 time and Keisuke Saitoh leads 1-0.
Who will win Hiroki Moriya vs Keisuke Saitoh?
Our model makes it Keisuke Saitoh to win at 1.88 (Lean confidence).