THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 08 OCTOBERMATCHES 246EVENTS 34LIVE 2ALERTS 152
ChallengerHardWuning 3 (China) - Qualification2026-10-07 04:00

Yaroslav Demin v Akira Santillan

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongLOST
Y. Demin to win2.16
Worth backing at 1.94 or bigger · our chance 52% · market 44/56, us 52/48

Y. Demin is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-6 on hard this season. A. Santillan is 4-6 over the last ten and 23-23 on hard this season.

The pick is Y. Demin to win. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.94 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

Y. DeminA. Santillan
685Ranking317
5-5Last 104-6
WLLWWLast 5WLLWL
+0.6V the odds-0.2
25-15Season32-28
16-6Hard 202623-23
1Last 7 days1
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

Y. Demin2.1744%
A. SantillanFAV1.7256%
Market says56% Santillan

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

Y. Demin0
A. Santillan1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationY. DeminvA. Santillan0 - 2

This season & this event

Y. Demin
A. Santillan
25-16
16-7
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-28
24-23
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Yaroslav Demin
World
Akira Santillan
Japan
685
21
World
17–6
2
15–3
2–3
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
317
29
Japan
31–27
0
21–20
10–7
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

Y. Demin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardA. Santillan0 - 22.1756%LOST
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardB. Zhukayev0 - 22.0654%WON
2026-09-13Guangzhou 2HardH. Liu2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-04M25 Casablanca (Morocco)ClayJ. Loge2 - 02.0956%LOST
2026-09-03M25 Casablanca (Morocco)ClayN. Schell0 - 21.2672%WON
2026-09-02 M25 Casablanca (Morocco), Clay—Y. Smiej0 - 21.2477%WON
2026-08-27M25 OviedoClayA. Ritschard2 - 14.5779%LOST
2026-08-26M25 OviedoClayT. McCormick2 - 11.8153%WON
2026-08-25M25 OviedoClayP. Aunion0 - 21.3969%WON
2026-08-18M25 SantanderClayC. Hernandez1 - 22.1155%LOST

A. Santillan — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. Demin0 - 21.7256%WON
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardL. Castelnuovo1 - 21.8350%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardL. Pavlovic0 - 22.2559%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardA. Bolt2 - 12.8766%LOST
2026-09-22HangzhouHardK. Kang0 - 2——WON
2026-09-16Guangzhou 2HardP. Kotov2 - 03.7275%LOST
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardY. Zeng0 - 21.2975%WON
2026-09-08ShanghaiHardB. Tomic2 - 03.5072%LOST
2026-09-03ZhangjiagangHardI. Ivashka1 - 23.2071%LOST
2026-09-01ZhangjiagangHardO. Jasika0 - 22.5663%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Yaroslav Demin or Akira Santillan?

Akira Santillan is favourite at 1.72, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Yaroslav Demin vs Akira Santillan?

Yaroslav Demin is 2.17 and Akira Santillan is 1.72, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.

What is the head-to-head between Yaroslav Demin and Akira Santillan?

They have met 1 time and Akira Santillan leads 1-0.

Who will win Yaroslav Demin vs Akira Santillan?

Our model makes it Yaroslav Demin to win at 2.16 (Strong confidence).

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