Hayato Matsuoka v James McCabe
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongWONH. Matsuoka is 6-4 over the last ten and 32-23 on hard this season. J. McCabe is 2-8 over the last ten and 18-18 on hard this season. The head to head is H. Matsuoka 2-0.
The pick is H. Matsuoka to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.59 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Matsuoka | J. McCabe | |
|---|---|---|
| 248 | Ranking | 253 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 2-8 |
| WLWLL | Last 5 | WLLLL |
| -0.5 | V the odds | -3.3 |
| 33-25 | Season | 27-25 |
| 32-23 | Hard 2026 | 18-18 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | H. MatsuokavJ. McCabe | 2 - 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Yokkaichi | J. McCabevH. Matsuoka | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Sydney | H. MatsuokavJ. McCabe | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Matsuoka — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | J. McCabe | 2 - 0 | 1.69 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Jinan | Hard | Sun Qian | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | 2.75 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Weber | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | L. Harris | 1 - 2 | 4.26 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Shanghai | Hard | Ja. Delaney | 1 - 2 | 1.35 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | E. Aguiard | 2 - 0 | 1.37 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Astana | Hard | A. Dougaz | 1 - 2 | 1.57 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Astana | Hard | K. Sultanov | 2 - 1 | 1.69 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | Astana | Hard | F. Sun | 0 - 2 | 1.67 | 58% | WON |
J. McCabe — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | H. Matsuoka | 2 - 0 | 2.20 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-10-11 | Jinan | Hard | S. Banthia | 0 - 1 RET | 1.04 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Jingshan | Hard | F. Cina | 0 - 2 | 3.75 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | L. Neumayer | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-12 | M25 East Lansing, MI | Hard | N. Zamora | 1 - 2 | 1.28 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Lexington | Hard | D. Lajovic | 1 - 2 | 2.12 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington | Hard | A. Bolt | 0 - 2 | 1.81 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-07-21 | Winnipeg | Hard | D. Chan | 1 - 2 | 1.56 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-07-16 | Lincoln | Hard | B. Tomic | 0 - 2 | 1.93 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-07-15 | Lincoln | Hard | M. Imamura | 0 - 2 | 1.60 | 60% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hayato Matsuoka or James McCabe?
Hayato Matsuoka is favourite at 1.69, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hayato Matsuoka vs James McCabe?
Hayato Matsuoka is 1.69 and James McCabe is 2.20, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.
What is the head-to-head between Hayato Matsuoka and James McCabe?
They have met 3 times and Hayato Matsuoka leads 3-0.
Who will win Hayato Matsuoka vs James McCabe?
Our model makes it Hayato Matsuoka to win at 1.71 (Strong confidence).