Gianluca Cadenasso v Marvin Moeller
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidM. Moeller is 7-3 over the last ten and 36-17 on clay this season. G. Cadenasso is 5-5 over the last ten and 20-17 on clay this season. G. Cadenasso took a medical timeout on 2026-10-13. G. Cadenasso retired from a match in the last month. M. Moeller took a medical timeout on 2026-10-13.
The pick is M. Moeller to win. We make it a 59% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.69 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| G. Cadenasso | M. Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| 220 | Ranking | 239 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWLWL | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| -0.8 | V the odds | +1.3 |
| 20-18 | Season | 52-24 |
| 20-17 | Clay 2026 | 36-17 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| MTOretired | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
G. Cadenasso — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | S. Gulin | 2 - 0 | 1.57 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-10-13 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | K. Wehnelt | 2 - 1 | 1.36 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Giunta | 0 - 2 | 1.54 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Moroni | 2 - 1 | 1.29 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | V. Sachko | 1 - 1 RET | 2.29 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | L. Angelini | 2 - 1 | 1.19 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | B. Sanchez Martinez | 2 - 0 | 1.60 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Donald | 2 - 1 | 1.44 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Biella | Clay | F. Forti | 0 - 2 | 2.17 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-06-22 | Wimbledon | Grass | F. Cina | 0 - 2 | 3.52 | 73% | LOST |
M. Moeller — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. A. Caniato | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | C. Sanchez Jover | 0 - 2 | 1.53 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-10-09 | Braga | Clay | M. Dodig | 0 - 2 | 2.86 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-10-08 | Braga | Clay | R. Nijboer | 0 - 2 | 1.40 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | T. Torres | 2 - 0 | 1.53 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | L. Mikrut | 1 - 2 | 3.08 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | D. Blanch | 2 - 1 | 1.80 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Arnaboldi | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | S. Travaglia | 1 - 2 | 2.00 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Szczecin | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 2 - 1 | 2.28 | 60% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Gianluca Cadenasso or Marvin Moeller?
Marvin Moeller is favourite at 1.85, which is a 52% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller?
Gianluca Cadenasso is 2.00 and Marvin Moeller is 1.85, the prices we recorded for the Catania (Italy) match.
Who will win Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model makes it Marvin Moeller to win at 1.85 (Solid confidence).