ChallengerClayFlorence (Italy) - Qualification2026-10-21 10:00

Filip Misolic v Izan Almazan Valiente

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

I. Almazan Valiente to win3.20

Worth backing at 2.84 or bigger · our chance 35% · market 71/29, us 65/35

I. Almazan Valiente is 7-3 over the last ten and 17-8 on clay this season. F. Misolic is 5-5 over the last ten and 6-5 on clay this season. F. Misolic retired from a match in the last month. I. Almazan Valiente took a medical timeout on 2026-10-14. I. Almazan Valiente has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is I. Almazan Valiente to win. We make it a 35% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.84 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. Misolic		I. Almazan Valiente
468	Ranking	428
5-5	Last 10	7-3
WWWLW	Last 5	WLWLW
-1.5	V the odds	+1.2
7-11	Season	49-24
6-5	Clay 2026	17-8
3	Last 7 days	4
1d	Days rest	1d
3	Wins here	2
retired	Fitness	MTO
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. MisolicFAV1.2971%

I. Almazan Valiente3.2029%

Market says71% Misolic

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

F. MisolicWWWLW

I. Almazan ValienteWLWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

F. Misolic

I. Almazan Valiente

7-11

6-5

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on clay

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

49-24

17-8

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Filip Misolic

Austria

Izan Almazan Valiente

Spain

468

Austria

3–10

1–6

2–4

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

428

Spain

46–22

32–16

14–6

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Misolic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-20	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	F. Gill		1.93	50%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-1 MisolicGillPoints won56%44%Serve points won71%58%Return points won42%29%Games held9 of 97 of 10Break points saved3 of 38 of 11Aces71Double faults05
2026-10-19	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	D. Siniakov		1.33	72%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 MisolicSiniakovPoints won60%40%Serve points won69%48%Return points won52%31%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved5 of 68 of 13Aces71Double faults33
2026-10-18	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	D. Recek		1.27	75%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 MisolicRecekPoints won64%36%Serve points won74%44%Return points won56%26%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved3 of 45 of 10Aces43Double faults00
2026-10-05	Braga	Clay	P. Schoen		1.53	62%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 2-6 MisolicSchoenPoints won39%61%Serve points won44%67%Return points won33%56%Games held3 of 87 of 7Break points saved11 of 160 of 0Aces02Double faults41
2026-10-04	Braga	Clay	T. Esculcas		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-0 MisolicEsculcasPoints won69%31%Serve points won74%38%Return points won62%26%Games held8 of 82 of 6Break points saved2 of 21 of 5Aces20Double faults34
2026-09-27	Bari (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	O. Ovcharenko	RET	—	—	LOST
Games in each set4-6 1-3 MisolicOvcharenkoPoints won44%56%Serve points won59%72%Return points won28%41%Games held5 of 77 of 7Break points saved4 of 60 of 0Aces32Double faults02
2026-09-21	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	S. Gima		1.18	80%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-4 3-6 MisolicGimaPoints won47%53%Serve points won48%54%Return points won46%52%Games held6 of 148 of 14Break points saved8 of 166 of 12Aces13Double faults62
2026-09-20	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	I. Lopez Morillo		1.19	79%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-1 MisolicMorilloPoints won58%42%Serve points won58%42%Return points won58%42%Games held7 of 103 of 9Break points saved3 of 63 of 9Aces30Double faults53
2026-09-13	Szczecin	Clay	M. Cerny		1.22	78%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 5-7 4-6 MisolicCernyPoints won50%50%Serve points won58%58%Return points won42%42%Games held10 of 1611 of 16Break points saved4 of 103 of 8Aces32Double faults50
2026-09-10	Tulln	Clay	M. Brunold		1.70	57%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 7-6 2-6 MisolicBrunoldPoints won44%56%Serve points won57%69%Return points won31%43%Games held8 of 1313 of 14Break points saved6 of 112 of 3Aces10Double faults33

I. Almazan Valiente — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-20	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	I. Ivanov	RET	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 3-0 ValienteIvanovPoints won66%34%Serve points won73%40%Return points won60%27%Games held5 of 62 of 6Break points saved0 of 14 of 8Aces00Double faults10
2026-10-19	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	A. Marti Pujolras		1.74	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-6 ValientePujolrasPoints won44%56%Serve points won52%62%Return points won38%48%Games held5 of 98 of 10Break points saved3 of 73 of 5Aces02Double faults22
2026-10-18	Florence (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	A. Andreev		2.37	60%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-2 7-5 ValienteAndreevPoints won56%44%Serve points won68%53%Return points won47%32%Games held12 of 169 of 16Break points saved2 of 611 of 18Aces21Double faults03
2026-10-14	Catania (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	F. Gill		3.28	71%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 1-6 ValienteGillPoints won43%57%Serve points won44%59%Return points won41%56%Games held3 of 87 of 9Break points saved2 of 74 of 6Aces40Double faults21
2026-10-12	Catania (Italy) - Qualification	Clay	S. Cuenin	RET	2.37	60%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-3 4-3 ValienteCueninPoints won52%48%Serve points won61%56%Return points won44%39%Games held12 of 1410 of 14Break points saved7 of 99 of 13Aces21Double faults35
2026-09-25	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	A. Andreev		2.16	55%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 2-6 ValienteAndreevPoints won40%60%Serve points won39%60%Return points won40%61%Games held1 of 85 of 7Break points saved3 of 104 of 6Aces00Double faults50
2026-09-24	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	M. Mrva		2.60	63%	WON
Games in each set7-5 0-6 6-2 ValienteMrvaPoints won51%49%Serve points won51%49%Return points won51%49%Games held6 of 136 of 13Break points saved7 of 146 of 13Aces10Double faults53
2026-09-22	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	G. Blancaneaux		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 ValienteBlancaneauxPoints won55%45%Serve points won65%56%Return points won44%35%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved2 of 34 of 7Aces01Double faults23
2026-09-21	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	G. Lazarov		1.60	59%	WON
Games in each set6-1 7-5 ValienteLazarovPoints won57%43%Serve points won66%51%Return points won49%34%Games held8 of 95 of 10Break points saved0 of 15 of 10Aces00Double faults36
2026-09-20	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	S. Popovic		1.25	74%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 ValientePopovicPoints won61%39%Serve points won64%42%Return points won58%36%Games held6 of 83 of 9Break points saved3 of 56 of 12Aces11Double faults12

Common questions

Who is favourite, Filip Misolic or Izan Almazan Valiente?

Filip Misolic is favourite at 1.29, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Filip Misolic vs Izan Almazan Valiente?

Filip Misolic is 1.29 and Izan Almazan Valiente is 3.20, the prices we recorded for the Florence (Italy) match.

Who will win Filip Misolic vs Izan Almazan Valiente?

Our model makes it Izan Almazan Valiente to win at 3.20 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Bondioli v Forti Ribecai v Houkes Nedic v Pujolras