THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 25 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 144EVENTS 38LIVE 3ALERTS 95
ATPHardHangzhou2026-09-24 11:30

Fajing Sun v Roman Safiullin

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
F. Sun to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.86 or bigger · our chance 54% · market 21/79, us 24/76

F. Sun is 7-3 over the last ten and 28-21 on hard this season. R. Safiullin is 6-4 over the last ten and 4-7 on hard this season.

The pick is F. Sun to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 54% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.86 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. SunR. Safiullin
197Ranking-
7-3Last 106-4
WWLWLLast 5LLWLW
+1.1V the odds+1.4
28-24Season32-14
28-21Hard 20264-7
3Last 7 days0
1dDays rest24d
2Wins here0
ClearFitness24d out
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. Sun4.8620%
R. SafiullinFAV1.2280%
Market says80% Safiullin

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

F. Sun0
R. Safiullin1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-24HangzhouF. SunvR. Safiullin0 - 2

This season & this event

F. Sun
R. Safiullin
28-25
28-22
Lost R32 to G. Zeppieri
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-14
5-7
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Fajing Sun
China
Roman Safiullin
World
197
29
China
19–11
1
19–11
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
94
29
World
13–20
0
9–12
3–4
1–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Sun — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-24HangzhouHardR. Safiullin0 - 24.8680%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardB. Tomic0 - 22.7165%WON
2026-09-22HangzhouHardM. Dellavedova2 - 11.5062%WON
2026-09-17Guangzhou 2HardA. Binda2 - 11.2772%LOST
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardA. Galarneau2 - 13.0969%WON
2026-09-08ShanghaiHardJ. Cui2 - 01.5360%LOST
2026-09-02ZhangjiagangHardH. Liu2 - 0——WON
2026-08-31ZhangjiagangHardWu Tung-Lin2 - 12.3159%WON
2026-08-14AstanaHardH. Matsuoka0 - 22.2758%LOST
2026-08-12AstanaHardS. Pankin2 - 11.6160%WON

R. Safiullin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-24HangzhouHardF. Sun0 - 21.2280%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardC. Alcaraz0 - 34.6679%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardH. Grenier1 - 21.1882%LOST
2026-08-21Cancun 2HardS. Wawrinka2 - 01.4567%WON
2026-08-21Cancun 2HardH. Hurkacz0 - 22.5662%LOST
2026-08-18Cancun 2HardS. Ofner2 - 01.6658%WON
2026-07-05WimbledonGrassN. Djokovic1 - 35.6683%LOST
2026-07-03WimbledonGrassJ. Fonseca3 - 04.1476%WON
2026-07-01WimbledonGrassB. Van De Zandschulp3 - 21.6260%WON
2026-06-29WimbledonGrassA. Rublev2 - 32.8766%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Fajing Sun or Roman Safiullin?

Roman Safiullin is favourite at 1.22, which is a 80% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Fajing Sun vs Roman Safiullin?

Fajing Sun is 4.86 and Roman Safiullin is 1.22, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.

What is the head-to-head between Fajing Sun and Roman Safiullin?

They have met 1 time and Roman Safiullin leads 1-0.

Who will win Fajing Sun vs Roman Safiullin?

Our model makes it Fajing Sun to win a set (Lean confidence).

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