Fabian Marozsan v Alex Bolt
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONF. Marozsan is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-13 on hard this season. A. Bolt is 4-6 over the last ten and 15-14 on hard this season.
The pick is F. Marozsan to win 2-0. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.12 or bigger. At 1.83 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| F. Marozsan | A. Bolt | |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Ranking | 169 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WLLWW | Last 5 | WWLLL |
| -0.6 | V the odds | -1.3 |
| 20-22 | Season | 20-20 |
| 13-13 | Hard 2026 | 15-14 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 6d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | F. MarozsanvA. Bolt | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
F. Marozsan — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Hangzhou | Hard | T. Daniel | 2 - 1 | 1.46 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Bolt | 2 - 0 | 1.34 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | L. Van Herck | 0 - 2 | 1.01 | 94% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | M. Zheng | 0 - 3 | 2.42 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-08-28 | Winston-Salem | Hard | J. Duckworth | 1 - 2 | 1.64 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Damm | 1 - 2 | 1.78 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | 2.16 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | M. Zheng | 1 - 2 | 2.21 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | M. Arnaldi | 1 - 2 | 1.68 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 0 - 2 | 1.56 | 62% | WON |
A. Bolt — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | F. Marozsan | 2 - 0 | 3.56 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Santillan | 2 - 1 | 1.45 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | O. Jasika | 2 - 0 | 1.62 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | P. Llamas Ruiz | 0 - 2 | 3.32 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Lexington | Hard | A. Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | 2.11 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-07-26 | Washington | Hard | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | 3.15 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington | Hard | J. McCabe | 0 - 2 | 2.06 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-06-22 | Wimbledon | Grass | O. Tarvet | 2 - 0 | 1.84 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-06-14 | Halle | Grass | M. Bellucci | 2 - 1 | 2.32 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-06-13 | Halle | Grass | J. Mackenzie | 1 - 2 | 1.13 | 85% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Fabian Marozsan or Alex Bolt?
Fabian Marozsan is favourite at 1.34, which is a 73% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt?
Fabian Marozsan is 1.34 and Alex Bolt is 3.56, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.
What is the head-to-head between Fabian Marozsan and Alex Bolt?
They have met 1 time and Fabian Marozsan leads 1-0.
Who will win Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt?
Our model makes it Fabian Marozsan to win 2-0 at 1.83 (Lean confidence).