Dane Sweeny v Taro Daniel
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongWONT. Daniel is 7-3 over the last ten and 27-10 on hard this season. D. Sweeny is 3-7 over the last ten and 19-19 on hard this season. The head to head is D. Sweeny 2-1.
The pick is T. Daniel to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.56 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Sweeny | T. Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| 135 | Ranking | 160 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LWLLL | Last 5 | WWLWL |
| -0.5 | V the odds | +1.0 |
| 25-23 | Season | 37-15 |
| 19-19 | Hard 2026 | 27-10 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 19d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | D. SweenyvT. Daniel | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-02-10 | Brisbane 2 | T. DanielvD. Sweeny | 0 - 2 |
| 2023-10-04 | ATP Shanghai | D. SweenyvT. Daniel | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-08-05 | ATP Toronto | D. SweenyvT. Daniel | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Sweeny — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | T. Daniel | 0 - 2 | 2.41 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open | Hard | L. Darderi | 3 - 0 | 4.00 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | C. Moutet | 2 - 0 RET | 3.29 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | J. De Jong | 2 - 0 | 2.70 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Cincinnati | Hard | C. O'Connell | 2 - 1 | 2.60 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-01 | Montreal | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 2 - 1 | 2.32 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-07-29 | Vancouver | Hard | D. Chan | 2 - 0 | 1.58 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-07-29 | Vancouver | Hard | D. Milavsky | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-21 | Bloomfield Hills | Hard | A. Martin | 2 - 1 | 1.60 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | G. Dimitrov | 0 - 3 | 4.09 | 76% | LOST |
T. Daniel — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Hangzhou | Hard | F. Marozsan | 2 - 1 | 2.90 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | D. Sweeny | 0 - 2 | 1.63 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | H. Matsuoka | 2 - 0 | 1.59 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | Ja. Delaney | 2 - 0 | 1.17 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Sharipov | 2 - 0 | 1.57 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Dellavedova | 0 - 2 | 1.25 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Johnson | 1 - 2 | 1.16 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-08-22 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | 2.73 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | S. Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | 1.86 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | J. Choinski | 0 - 2 | 2.19 | 56% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Dane Sweeny or Taro Daniel?
Taro Daniel is favourite at 1.63, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel?
Dane Sweeny is 2.41 and Taro Daniel is 1.63, the prices we recorded for the Hangzhou match.
What is the head-to-head between Dane Sweeny and Taro Daniel?
They have met 4 times and they are level at 2-2.
Who will win Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel?
Our model makes it Taro Daniel to win at 1.61 (Strong confidence).