THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ChallengerHardWuning 3 (China) - Qualification2026-10-05 04:00

Evan Zhu v Koki Matsuda

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
E. Zhu to win1.36
Price too short today - wait for 1.45 or bigger · our chance 69% · market 70/30, us 69/31

E. Zhu is 7-3 over the last ten and 36-25 on hard this season. K. Matsuda is 4-6 over the last ten and 30-17 on hard this season. E. Zhu has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is E. Zhu to win. We make it a 69% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.45 or bigger. At 1.36 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

E. ZhuK. Matsuda
738Ranking467
7-3Last 104-6
LWWWLLast 5LLLWL
+0.0V the odds-
42-27Season32-18
36-25Hard 202630-17
4Last 7 days1
4dDays rest7d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

E. ZhuFAV1.3670%
K. Matsuda3.2530%
Market says70% Zhu

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

E. Zhu1
K. Matsuda0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-06Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationE. ZhuvK. Matsuda2 - 0

This season & this event

E. Zhu
K. Matsuda
43-27
37-25
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
32-19
30-18
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Evan Zhu
USA
Koki Matsuda
Japan
479
28
USA
42–27
1
37–26
5–1
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
467
25
Japan
33–16
2
31–15
2–1
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

E. Zhu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardK. Matsuda2 - 01.3670%WON
2026-10-01JingshanHardA. Bolt2 - 12.8166%LOST
2026-09-30JingshanHardH. Liu2 - 0——WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardA. Vukic0 - 1 RET3.8475%WON
2026-09-28JingshanHardZ. Xia0 - 2——WON
2026-09-22San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardH. Searle1 - 22.5963%LOST
2026-09-21San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardA. Ayeni0 - 2——WON
2026-09-20 San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification, Hard—A. Lofman0 - 2——WON
2026-09-16TiburonHardM. Zheng2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-14TiburonHardO. Baris1 - 2——WON

K. Matsuda — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardE. Zhu2 - 03.2570%LOST
2026-09-28JingshanHardK. Saitoh2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-15Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardA. Weber2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-10Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardP. Sekulic2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-08Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardM. Borisiouk0 - 2——WON
2026-09-02ZhangjiagangHardW. K. Leong M.2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-01ZhangjiagangHardJa. Delaney2 - 0——WON
2026-08-31ZhangjiagangHardF. Meng2 - 1——WON
2026-08-30ZhangjiagangHardK. Uesugi2 - 1——WON
2026-08-18M25 TaipeiHardC. H. Ho0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Evan Zhu or Koki Matsuda?

Evan Zhu is favourite at 1.36, which is a 70% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Evan Zhu vs Koki Matsuda?

Evan Zhu is 1.36 and Koki Matsuda is 3.25, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.

What is the head-to-head between Evan Zhu and Koki Matsuda?

They have met 1 time and Evan Zhu leads 1-0.

Who will win Evan Zhu vs Koki Matsuda?

Our model makes it Evan Zhu to win at 1.36 (Lean confidence).

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