THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 13 OCTOBERMATCHES 224EVENTS 35LIVE 2ALERTS 135
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia2026-10-12 12:00

Elmer Moller v Lukas Neumayer

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid
L. Neumayer to win1.79
Worth backing at 1.64 or bigger · our chance 61% · market 46/54, us 39/61

L. Neumayer is 6-4 over the last ten and 31-14 on clay this season. E. Moller is 5-5 over the last ten and 14-15 on clay this season. E. Moller took a medical timeout on 2026-10-10. E. Moller has played 5 matches in seven days. L. Neumayer has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is E. Moller 0-2.

The pick is L. Neumayer to win. We make it a 61% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.64 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

E. MollerL. Neumayer
181Ranking180
5-5Last 106-4
LWWWWLast 5LWWWL
+0.8V the odds-0.7
23-25Season44-26
14-15Clay 202631-14
5Last 7 days4
1dDays rest2d
0Wins here0
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
0-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

E. Moller2.1146%
L. NeumayerFAV1.7954%
Market says54% Neumayer

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

E. Moller0
L. Neumayer2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2025-04-04MenorcaE. MollervL. Neumayer0 - 2
2025-01-06ATP Australian OpenL. NeumayervE. Moller2 - 1

This season & this event

E. Moller
L. Neumayer
23-25
14-15
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
44-26
31-14
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Elmer Moller
Denmark
Lukas Neumayer
Austria
181
23
Denmark
20–24
0
2–6
16–16
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
180
24
Austria
39–23
2
9–7
29–15
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

E. Moller — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11BragaClayM. Dodig1 - 23.0168%LOST
2026-10-10BragaClayV. Gaubas2 - 12.1154%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayT. Pereira2 - 11.4766%WON
2026-10-07BragaClayZ. Piros1 - 22.5362%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayT. Monteiro1 - 22.2559%WON
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayC. Taberner2 - 01.9250%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryI. Radulov2 - 01.4365%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryG. Dimitrov1 - 24.0176%LOST
2026-09-02MallorcaHardM. Kasnikowski1 - 22.3759%LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardC. Wong2 - 14.7880%LOST

L. Neumayer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10BragaClayM. Dodig2 - 02.2757%LOST
2026-10-09BragaClayM. Alcala Gurri2 - 12.1455%WON
2026-10-08BragaClayO. Wallin0 - 21.3969%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayF. Broska1 - 21.2775%WON
2026-09-25Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Mikrut0 - 22.4761%LOST
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayJ. C. Martin Manzano2 - 1——WON
2026-09-22Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayS. D'Agostino2 - 0——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsZ. Bergs1 - 22.8267%LOST
2026-09-11TullnClayJ. Reis Da Silva2 - 01.4069%LOST
2026-09-10TullnClayJ. M. La Serna1 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Elmer Moller or Lukas Neumayer?

Lukas Neumayer is favourite at 1.79, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Elmer Moller vs Lukas Neumayer?

Elmer Moller is 2.11 and Lukas Neumayer is 1.79, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

What is the head-to-head between Elmer Moller and Lukas Neumayer?

They have met 2 times and Lukas Neumayer leads 2-0.

Who will win Elmer Moller vs Lukas Neumayer?

Our model makes it Lukas Neumayer to win at 1.79 (Solid confidence).

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