THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-05 11:00

Daniel Rincon v Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
D. Rincon to win1.50
Price too short today - wait for 1.53 or bigger · our chance 66% · market 65/35, us 66/34

D. Rincon is 5-5 over the last ten and 24-12 on clay this season. A. Sanchez Quilez is 5-5 over the last ten and 22-17 on clay this season.

The pick is D. Rincon to win. We make it a 66% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.53 or bigger. At 1.50 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. RinconA. Sanchez Quilez
253Ranking395
5-5Last 105-5
LWWLLLast 5LLWLL
+0.2V the odds+0.0
36-26Season40-24
24-12Clay 202622-17
3Last 7 days2
3dDays rest6d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. RinconFAV1.5065%
A. Sanchez Quilez2.7435%
Market says65% Rincon

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Rincon1
A. Sanchez Quilez0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05VillenaD. RinconvA. Sanchez Quilez2 - 0

This season & this event

D. Rincon
A. Sanchez Quilez
37-26
25-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
40-25
22-18
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daniel Rincon
Spain
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Spain
253
23
Spain
33–23
1
8–9
25–14
0–0
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
395
21
Spain
40–21
1
21–7
19–14
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Rincon — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayA. Sanchez Quilez2 - 01.5065%WON
2026-10-02PortoClayD. Jorda Sanchis0 - 21.3671%LOST
2026-09-30PortoClayL. Djere2 - 02.2757%WON
2026-09-29PortoClayF. Tabacco0 - 21.3669%WON
2026-09-21St. TropezHardD. Prizmic2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-17RennesHard (Indoor)T. Droguet1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)H. Stewart1 - 0 RET——WON
2026-09-09CassisHardU. Blanchet2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-08CassisHardM. Dhamne0 - 2——WON
2026-09-03MallorcaHardI. Montes-De La Torre0 - 2——LOST

A. Sanchez Quilez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayD. Rincon2 - 02.7465%LOST
2026-09-29PortoClayJ. Fearnley0 - 23.4173%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayF. Tabacco2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-27PortoClayA. Donski1 - 21.3371%WON
2026-09-14BiellaClayO. Roca Batalla2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-06SevilleClayA. Turriziani Alvarez0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-04MallorcaHardM. Lajal0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-03MallorcaHardM. Kasnikowski0 - 2——WON
2026-09-02MallorcaHardF. Meligeni Alves0 - 2——WON
2026-08-08M25+H TausteHardI. Almazan Valiente0 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Daniel Rincon or Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Daniel Rincon is favourite at 1.50, which is a 65% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Daniel Rincon vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Daniel Rincon is 1.50 and Alejo Sanchez Quilez is 2.74, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Daniel Rincon and Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

They have met 1 time and Daniel Rincon leads 1-0.

Who will win Daniel Rincon vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?

Our model makes it Daniel Rincon to win at 1.50 (Lean confidence).

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