WTAHardHong Kong2026-11-04 03:00

Claire Liu v Katie Boulter

The market

C. Liu2.2542%

K. BoulterFAV1.6258%

Market says58% Boulter

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

C. LiuWLWLW

K. BoulterWLWWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

C. Liu

K. Boulter

40-21

22-10

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

26-23

23-17

Lost R32 to A. Eala

Lost Final to D. Shnaider

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Claire Liu

USA

Katie Boulter

United Kingdom

USA

38–19

16–10

17–7

5–2

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

United Kingdom

21–18

13–9

5–6

3–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

C. Liu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Hong Kong	Hard	T. Prozorova	2.29	58%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 LiuProzorovaPoints won57%43%Serve points won70%54%Return points won46%30%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved2 of 37 of 11Aces62Double faults02
2026-10-30	Guangzhou	Hard	X. Sun	—	—	LOST
Games in each set5-7 6-7 LiuSunPoints won48%52%Serve points won61%64%Return points won36%39%Games held10 of 1211 of 12Break points saved6 of 86 of 7Aces77Double faults31
2026-10-27	Guangzhou	Hard	A. Ruzic	1.79	54%	WON
Games in each set4-6 7-6 6-4 LiuRuzicPoints won51%49%Serve points won60%59%Return points won41%40%Games held11 of 1611 of 16Break points saved8 of 136 of 11Aces94Double faults32
2026-10-20	Osaka	Hard	M. Linette	1.56	62%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 3-6 LiuLinettePoints won45%55%Serve points won55%64%Return points won36%45%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved7 of 105 of 6Aces26Double faults32
2026-10-18	Osaka	Hard	M. Inglis	1.51	63%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 LiuInglisPoints won58%42%Serve points won66%52%Return points won48%34%Games held8 of 105 of 9Break points saved2 of 43 of 7Aces101Double faults12
2026-10-17	Osaka	Hard	K. Sawashiro	1.04	93%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-1 LiuSawashiroPoints won67%33%Serve points won81%43%Return points won57%19%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved0 of 05 of 10Aces50Double faults21
2026-10-10	Wuhan	Hard	L. Tararudee	2.03	53%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 LiuTararudeePoints won49%51%Serve points won61%61%Return points won39%39%Games held8 of 119 of 11Break points saved4 of 76 of 8Aces19Double faults65
2026-10-07	Suzhou	Hard	R. Sramkova	1.47	65%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 4-6 LiuSramkovaPoints won45%55%Serve points won56%67%Return points won33%44%Games held7 of 119 of 11Break points saved3 of 74 of 6Aces51Double faults44
2026-10-05	Suzhou	Hard	E. Jacquemot	1.53	60%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-1 LiuJacquemotPoints won64%36%Serve points won68%40%Return points won60%32%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved0 of 06 of 11Aces13Double faults28
2026-09-14	Sao Paulo	Clay	M. Stoiana	1.80	54%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7 LiuStoianaPoints won45%55%Serve points won45%55%Return points won45%55%Games held4 of 107 of 11Break points saved7 of 137 of 11Aces30Double faults84

K. Boulter — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Hong Kong	Hard	V. Golubic	1.61	60%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-6 BoulterGolubicPoints won58%42%Serve points won64%47%Return points won53%36%Games held7 of 105 of 10Break points saved3 of 68 of 13Aces12Double faults14
2026-10-24	Osaka	Hard	K. Siniakova	2.52	61%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 BoulterSiniakovaPoints won43%57%Serve points won45%60%Return points won40%55%Games held3 of 87 of 9Break points saved9 of 141 of 3Aces10Double faults64
2026-10-23	Osaka	Hard	A. Ruzic	1.53	63%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-3 BoulterRuzicPoints won53%47%Serve points won57%51%Return points won49%43%Games held8 of 136 of 13Break points saved4 of 93 of 10Aces42Double faults55
2026-10-21	Osaka	Hard	V. Golubic	1.88	52%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-1 BoulterGolubicPoints won64%36%Serve points won76%52%Return points won48%24%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved1 of 10 of 4Aces10Double faults30
2026-10-19	Osaka	Hard	H. Sakatsume	1.56	62%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 BoulterSakatsumePoints won56%44%Serve points won60%50%Return points won50%40%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved12 of 134 of 9Aces12Double faults71
2026-10-12	Wuhan	Hard	D. Shnaider	4.37	78%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 BoulterShnaiderPoints won44%56%Serve points won44%56%Return points won44%56%Games held2 of 86 of 8Break points saved10 of 163 of 5Aces01Double faults44
2026-10-02	Beijing	Hard	K. Muchova	5.63	83%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-6 BoulterMuchovaPoints won39%61%Serve points won52%75%Return points won25%48%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved1 of 40 of 1Aces25Double faults53
2026-09-30	Beijing	Hard	M. Hontama	1.41	68%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 BoulterHontamaPoints won53%47%Serve points won60%53%Return points won47%40%Games held7 of 95 of 10Break points saved6 of 83 of 8Aces42Double faults61
2026-09-22	WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group	- Qualification	L. Noskova	—	—	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-7 BoulterNoskovaPoints won46%54%Serve points won67%76%Return points won24%33%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved4 of 60 of 0Aces415Double faults52
2026-09-02	US Open	Hard	K. Muchova	6.73	86%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 0-6 BoulterMuchovaPoints won32%68%Serve points won29%65%Return points won35%71%Games held0 of 75 of 6Break points saved0 of 72 of 3Aces02Double faults82

Common questions

Who is favourite, Claire Liu or Katie Boulter?

Katie Boulter is favourite at 1.62, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter?

Claire Liu is 2.25 and Katie Boulter is 1.62, the prices we recorded for the Hong Kong match.